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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 企業管理學系 > 期刊論文 >  Item 140.119/100713
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/100713

    Title: Empirical Comparisons of Five Procedures for Combining or Selecting Forecasts
    Authors: 唐揆
    Ringuest, J.;Tang, Kwei
    Contributors: 企管系
    Date: 1989
    Issue Date: 2016-08-24 17:23:18 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: The Makridakis et al. (J. Forecasting 1, 111–153, 1982 [1]) 111 time series were used to evaluate five procedures for combining individual forecasts produced by different techniques. The five combinations considered were a simple average forecast, the median forecast, two versions of focus forecasting (Smith and Wright. Focus Forecasting: Computer Techniques for Inventory Control, 1978 [2]) and a procedure developed by Bunn (Opn. Res. Q. 26, 325 329, 1975 [3]) and Bunn and Kappos (Eur. J. Opn. Res. 9, 173-18O, 1982 [4]). Results indicate that each of the five combinations can potentially result in improved forecast accuracy. The conditions under which each combination will he most likely to improve forecast accuracy are discussed.
    Relation: Socio Economic Planning Sciences, 23(4), 217-225
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0038-0121(89)90029-3
    DOI: 10.1016/0038-0121(89)90029-3
    Appears in Collections:[企業管理學系] 期刊論文

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