政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/127575
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 112721/143689 (78%)
造访人次 : 49501305      在线人数 : 515
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧：
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据
    •  进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/127575


    题名: 高雄氣爆後的房價被市場暴棄了？
    Does the Housing Price Drop Dramatically after Kaohsiung Gas Explosions?
    作者: 林士淵
    Lin , Shih-Yuan
    徐士勛
    Hsu, Shih-Hsun
    陳琮仁
    Chen, Tsung-Jen
    贡献者: 地政系
    关键词: 高雄氣爆;實價登錄;地理資訊系統;差異中的差異法
    Kaohsiung Gas Explosions;Real Estate Transaction;Geographic Information System;Difference-in-Differences
    日期: 2020-03
    上传时间: 2019-11-26 14:41:41 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 為了分析 2014 年高雄氣爆事件對氣爆區域房屋總價的影響，我們整理氣爆前後兩年高雄市的房屋實價登錄交易資料並輔以『地理資訊系統』完成房屋的空間定位，之後我們在最適對照組的時空資料範圍下利用『差異中的差異法』進行分析。我們發現，「災害陰影效應」對平均總房價的負向影響在氣爆後9個內並沒有顯著高於「更新效應」的正向影響；相對地，「更新效應」淨效果隨氣爆時間經過而較可能顯著拉抬房價。分量迴歸分析更顯示高總價房屋在氣爆3個月後就顯著受益於「更新效應」的抬價效果，而低總價的物件則遲至氣爆後9個月才顯著呈現此正向效果。整體而言，氣爆後「更新效應」淨效果對氣爆區房價的總拉抬效應高於公私部門投入的復建與修繕更新總經費。
    In order to analyze the impact of the gas explosion accident occurred in Kaohsiung in 2014 on the property price over the gas explosion area, we accessed the official real estate transaction database to collect properties located inside and outside the area and were transacted two years before and after the gas explosion. A Difference-inDifferences approach was then applied based on the transaction records. The results indicated that the impact of the negative "hazard effect" on the average total price of property was not significantly higher than the positive "renew effect" in the nine months after the gas explosion. The net effect of the "renew effect" was more likely to increase the price as the gas explosion time passes. Moreover, the quantile analysis suggested that the high-priced properties significantly benefited from the "renew effect" after three months of gas explosion, while the positive effect on properties with low total price was significantly after nine months of the explosion. Overall, the total increase of the house price due to the net "renew effect" in the gas explosion area was higher than the total cost of the reconstruction and renovation contributed by the public and private sectors.
    關聯: 經濟論文, Vol.48, No.1, pp.33-68
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[地政學系] 期刊論文
    [經濟學系] 期刊論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    277.pdf2025KbAdobe PDF2254检视/开启


    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈