English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 92429/122733 (75%)
Visitors : 26460648      Online Users : 330
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131383

    Title: 政變對經濟表現的影響:1958年泰國政變和1966年印尼政變的合成控制證據
    The effect of coup d’etat on economic performances: Synthetic control evidence from the 1958 Thai coup and the 1966 Indonesian coup
    Authors: 林金源
    Siripattanachok, Akrawat
    Contributors: 黃柏鈞
    Huang, Po-Chun
    Akrawat Siripattanachok
    Keywords: synthetic control
    coup d’etat
    Thai politics
    Indonesian politics
    economic growth
    Date: 2020
    Issue Date: 2020-08-03 18:48:46 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: This thesis aims to assess economic performance after Sarit’s coup in 1958 and Suharto’s coup in 1966 by using the synthetic control method. The synthetic control extrapolates the trajectory of Thailand’s and Indonesia’s synthetic post-coup log GDP per capita with a weighted combination selected from the donor pool. The donor pool includes countries designated as ‘developing’ in the World Economic Survey 1963. Those developing countries must not have experienced a coup at least five years before and after Sarit’s and Suharto’s coups. The result found that the GDP per capita post-Sarit’s and post-Suharto coups increased significantly compared to the synthetic figures. In addition, this thesis also provides a theoretical explanation of the developmental state, explaining the driving forces of high economic growth in East Asia. Interestingly, Thailand and Indonesia also followed this pattern to thrive for higher economic growth. From the economic perspective, both governments have established departments to take care of the economy on the macro level, and to draft economic strategies. The post-coup government also initiated the Board of Investment in an effort to promote a friendly environment for foreign investors. In contrast, however, political suppression was widespread due to the governments’ control of labor unions that called for welfare and improved standards of living. This situation benefited capitalists, making it even easier for them to accumulate capital.
    Reference: Abadie, A., & Gardeazabal, J. (2003). The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country. The American Economic Review, 93(1), 113-132.
    Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505.
    Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2015). Comparative Politics and the Synthetic Control Method. 59(2), 495-510.
    Amir, S. (2017). The Technological State in Indonesia: The Co-constitution of High Technology and Authoritarian Politics. Routledge.
    Ammar, S., & Suthad, S. (1989). Trade, Exchange Rate, and Agricultural Pricing Policies in Thailand. Washington, D C: The World Bank.
    Ang, C. (2018). Southeast Asia's Cold War: An interpretive History. Umiversity of Hawai'i Press.
    Apichat, S. (2002). The Rise and Fall of the Technocrats: The Unholy Trinity of Technocrats, Ruling Elites and Private Bankers and the Genesis of the 1997 Economic Crisis. PhD thesis. University of Wales, Swansea.
    Baker, D. (2006). The political economy of fascism: Myth or reality, or myth and reality? New Political Economy, 11(2), 227-250.
    Barbieri, K., & Omar M. G. Omar Keshk. (2016). Correlates of War Project Trade Data Set Codebook. Version 4.0. Retrieved from http://correlatesofwar.org
    Batson, B. A. (1974). The fall of the Phibun Government, 1944. Journal of the Siam Society, 62(2), 89-120.
    Boden, R. (2008). Cold War Economics: Soviet Aid to Indonesia. Journal of Cold War Studies, 10(3), 110-128.
    Caldentey, E. P. (2008). The Concept and Evolution of the Developmental State. International Journal of Political Economy, 37(3), 27-53.
    Chalmers, I., & Hadiz, V. R. (1997). The Politics of Economic Development in Indonesia. New York: Routledge.
    Fosu, A. K. (2002). Political Instability and Economic Growth: Implications of Coup Events in Sub-Saharan Africa. The American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 61(1), 329-348.
    Galiani, S., & Quistorff, B. (2017). The synth runner package: Utilities to automate synthetic control estimation using synth. The Stata Journal, 17(4), 834–849.
    Golay, F. H., Anspach, R., Pfanner, M., & Ayal, E. B. (1969). Underdevelopment and Economic Nationalism in Southeast Asia. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press.
    Haggard, S. (2018). Developmental States. Cambridge University Press.
    Kojima, K. (2000). The “flying geese” model of Asian economic development: origin, theoretical extensions, and regional policy implications. Journal of Asian Economics, 11(4), 375–401.
    MacKenzie, R., Ross, H., & Lee, K. (2017). ‘Preparing ourselves to become an international organization’: Thailand Tobacco Monopoly’s regional and global strategies. Global Public Health, 12(3), 351-366.
    Maddison, A. (2010). Historical Statistics for the World Economy: 1-2008 AD. Retrieved from http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/oriindex.htm
    Marshall, M. G., Gurr, T. R., & Jaggers, K. (2018). Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2017: Dataset Users’ Manual. Center for Systemic Peace.
    Masuhara, A. (2015). The End of Personal Rule in Indonesia: Golkar and the Transformation of the Soeharto Regime. Kyoto University Press.
    Meyersson, E. (2016). "Political man on horseback: coups and development.". Stockholm Institute for Transition Economics (SITE).
    Mieno, F. (2013). Aid as Handmaiden for the Development of Institutions: A New Comparative Perspective. (M. Nissanke, & Y. Shimomura, Eds.) New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
    Nanbara, M. (1998). Economic plans and the evolution of economic nationalism in Siam in the 1930s. PhD thesis. SOAS University of London.
    Nattapon, J. (n.d.). the 1957 coup (in Thai). Retrieved December 14, 2019, from King Prajadhipok's Institute: http://wiki.kpi.ac.th/index.php?title=%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%90%E0%B8%9B%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3_%E0%B8%9E.%E0%B8%A8._25000
    NESDB. (1961). 1th National Economic and Social Development Plan (1961-1966) .
    O'Kane, R. H. (1981). A Probabilistic Approach to the Causes of Coups d'Etat. British Journal of Political Science, 11(3), 287-308.
    O'Kane, R. H. (1983). Towards an Examination of the General Causes of Coups d'Etat. European Journal of Political Research, 11(1), 27-44.
    Phimmasone, R. M. (2012). Thailand’s Second Triumvirate: Sarit Thanarat and the military, King Bhumibol Adulyadej and the monarchy and the United States. 1957-1963. Master's thesis. University of Washington.
    Porphant , O. (2006). Karn Tor SU Kong Thun Thai 2: Karn Muang, Wattanatham Peua Kham Yu Rod [The Fighting of Thai capitals 2: Politics, Culture for surviving]. (P. Pasuk, Ed.) Bangkok: Matichon Public Company Limited.
    Rasiah, R., McFarlane, B., & Kuruvilla, S. (2015). Globalization, Industrialization and Labour Markets in East and South Asia. Routledge.
    Scott, P. D. (1985). The United States and the Overthrow of Sukarno, 1965-1967. Pacific Affairs, 58(2), 239-264.
    Singh, J. N., & Ovadia, J. S. (2018). The theory and practice of building developmental states in the Global South. Third World Quarterly, 39(6), 1033-1055.
    Sudsamorn, S. (1983). An analysis of operational results of provincial trading companies between B.E.2518-2522 (in Thai). MA thesis. Chulalongkorn University .
    Tannenbaum, E. R. (1969). The Goals of Italian Fascism. The American Historical Review, 74(4), 1183-1204.
    Wells, A. (1974). The Coup d'Etat in Theory and Practice: Independent Black Africa in the 1960s'. American Journal of Sociology, 79(4), 871-887 .
    Wie, T. K. (2006). Policies for Private Sector Development in Indonesia. ADB Institute Discussion Paper No. 46.
    Yu, S. (2014). Leaders, Regimes, and Political Instability. Groningen: University of Groningen, SOM research school .
    Description: 碩士
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106266014
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202000777
    Appears in Collections:[應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程 (IMES) ] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    601401.pdf1447KbAdobe PDF7View/Open

    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

    社群 sharing

    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback