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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/137999


    Title: COVID-19期間美國貨幣政策衝擊對台灣的傳遞效果: 以事件研究法分析
    Pass-Through of U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks on Taiwan During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Event Study Analysis
    Authors: 鄭家佶
    Zheng, Jia-Ji
    Contributors: 荒井夏來
    Natsuki, Arai
    鄭家佶
    Zheng, Jia-Ji
    Keywords: COVID-19 危機
    貨幣政策
    衝擊傳遞效果
    事件研究法
    台灣經濟
    Date: 2021
    Issue Date: 2021-12-01 14:28:34 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 2020年COVID-19席捲全球,聯邦基金利率自2008年全球金融危機以來再次觸底,美國量化寬鬆政策回歸,對世界經濟產生外溢效果。本文運用事件研究法,選定COVID-19期間重要的貨幣政策公告時點,通過台灣公司債券與公債殖利率、匯率、股價三個管道,分析美國整體貨幣政策與非傳統貨幣政策衝擊對台灣的傳遞效果是否存在,並使用日內資料 (Intraday data),以認定純粹的衝擊效果。而本文研究結果為:
    1. 美國整體擴張貨幣政策衝擊對台灣公司債殖利率、台美交叉匯率沒有顯著傳遞效果,存在降低台灣公債殖利率以及使台灣股價下挫的微小傳遞效果,效果在債市與股市之間有替代關係。
    2. 美國非傳統貨幣政策衝擊存在使台幣相對美元升值的微小傳遞效果。然而非傳統衝擊通過美國公債殖利率對台灣股價並沒有傳遞效果,唯通過MBS指數使台灣股價下挫的傳遞效果存在,顯示美國QE政策主要透過風險證券衝擊台灣股市,但效果可能非常有限。
    3. 相較於整體貨幣政策,美國非傳統貨幣政策衝擊致使台灣公債殖利率下降之傳遞效果較大。
    Reference: 王凱立, 林卓民, & 王美智. (2010). 總體經濟因素與資訊傳遞效果於美國與台灣債券市場動態過程之研究. 管理與系統, 17(4), 611-636.
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    國際經營與貿易學系
    108351027
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108351027
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202101727
    Appears in Collections:[國際經營與貿易學系 ] 學位論文

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