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    Title: 美國職業運動與區域經濟表現之相關性探討
    Homerun or Strike-out The economic effect of MLB World Champion using synthetic control method and difference-in-differences
    Authors: 李直謙
    Lee, Chih-Chien
    Contributors: 黃柏鈞
    Huang, Po-Chun
    李直謙
    Lee, Chih-Chien
    Keywords: 經濟
    運動
    sports economics
    MLB
    World Champion
    GDP
    Date: 2023
    Issue Date: 2024-03-01 13:51:56 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 這項研究旨在探討美國職業棒球大聯盟世界大賽冠軍對經濟的影響,具體關注GDP與職業體育之間的因果關係。該研究利用了1997年至2019年的數據,採用了合成對照法和雙重差異法。結果顯示,世界大賽勝利後當地經濟呈現出積極效應。結果表明,世界冠軍年度的一年後,總GDP約增長4%,體育GDP增長約8%。結果還表明,贏得世界大賽導致參與觀賽人數增加約2個標準誤差,並且這種增長持續多年。
    This research aims to examine the economic impact of Major League Baseball World Series Champions, specifically focusing on the causal relationship between GDP and professional sports. The study utilizes data from 1997 to 2019, employing both the synthetic control method and difference-indifferences methods. The result reveals positive effects on the local economy following a World Series victory. The result shows an approximate 4% increase in total GDP and 8% in sports GDP one year after the World Champion year. The results also indicates that winning the World Series leads to an increase in attendance by approximately 2 standard errors, and the increasement lasts for years.
    Reference: [1] Callaway, Brantly, and Pedro HC Sant’Anna. "Difference-in-differences with multiple time periods." Journal of econometrics 225, no. 2 (2021): 200-230.
    [2] Baker, Andrew C., David F. Larcker, and Charles CY Wang. "How much should we trust staggered difference-in-differences estimates?." Journal of Financial Economics 144, no. 2 (2022): 370-395.
    [3] Abadie, Alberto, Alexis Diamond, and Jens Hainmueller. "Synth: An R package for synthetic control methods in comparative case studies." Journal of Statistical Software 42, no. 13 (2011).
    [4] Siegfried, John, and Andrew Zimbalist. "The economics of sports facilities and their communities." Journal of Economic Perspectives 14, no. 3 (2000): 95-114.
    [5] Matheson, Victor, and Robert Baade. "A Fall Classic? Assessing the Economic Impact of the World Series." (2005). Economics Department Working Papers. Paper 92.
    [6] Klößner, Stefan, and Gregor Pfeifer. "Outside the box: Using synthetic control methods as a forecasting technique." Applied Economics Letters 25, no. 9 (2018): 615-618.
    [7] Lemke, Robert J., Matthew Leonard, and Kelebogile Tlhokwane. "Estimating attendance at Major League Baseball games for the 2007 season." Journal of Sports Economics 11, no. 3 (2010): 316-348.
    [8] Abadie, Alberto, Alexis Diamond, and Jens Hainmueller. "Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: Estimating the effect of California’s tobacco control program." Journal of the American statistical Association 105, no. 490 (2010): 493-505.
    [9] Coates, Dennis, and Brad R. Humphreys. "The economic impact of postseason play in professional sports. " Journal of Sports Economics 3, no. 3 (2002): 291-299.
    [10] Abadie, Alberto. "Using synthetic controls: Feasibility, data requirements, and methodological aspects. " Journal of Economic Literature 59, no. 2 (2021): 391-425.
    [11] Baade, Robert, and Victor Matheson. "An assessment of the economic impact of the American football championship, the Superbowl, on host communities." In IASE Conference Papers, no. 9903. International Association of Sports Economists, 1999.
    [12] Baade, Robert A., and Victor A. Matheson. "Home run or wild pitch? Assessing the economic impact of Major League Baseball’s All-Star Game." Journal of Sports Economics 2, no. 4 (2001): 307-327.
    [13] Siegfried, John, and Andrew Zimbalist. "The economics of sports facilities and their communities." Journal of Economic Perspectives 14, no. 3 (2000): 95-114.
    [14] Baade, Robert A., and Richard F. Dye. "The impact of stadium and professional sports on metropolitan area development." Growth and change 21, no. 2 (1990): 1-14.
    [15] Rosentraub, Mark S., David Swindell, Michael Przybylski, and Daniel R. Mullins. "Sport and downtown development strategy if you build it, will jobs come?." Journal of Urban Affairs 16, no. 3 (1994): 221-239.
    [16] Baade, Robert A. "Professional sports as catalysts for metropolitan economic development." Journal of urban affairs 18, no. 1 (1996): 1-17.
    [17] Noll, Roger G., and Andrew Zimbalist. "Sports, jobs, and taxes." Brookings Review 15, no. 3 (1997): 35-40.
    [18] Coates, Dennis, and Brad R. Humphreys. "The growth effects of sport franchises, stadia, and arenas." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management: The Journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management 18, no. 4 (1999): 601-624.
    [19] Dickert-Conlin, Stacy, Todd Elder, and Keith Teltser. "Allocating scarce organs: How a change in supply affects transplant waiting lists and transplant recipients." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11, no. 4 (2019): 210-239.
    [20] Bradbury, John Charles, Dennis Coates, and Brad R. Humphreys. "The impact of professional sports franchises and venues on local economies: A comprehensive survey." Journal of Economic Surveys (2022).
    [21] Matheson, Victor. "Mega-Events: The effect of the world’s biggest sporting events on local, regional, and national economies." (2006).
    [22] Noll, Roger G., and Andrew Zimbalist, eds. "Sports, jobs, and taxes: The economic impact of sports teams and stadiums." Brookings Institution Press, (2011).
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    110258035
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110258035
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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