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|Other Titles: ||A Preliminary Study on Deep-Green Voters|
deep-green voters;Taiwanese consciousness;Taiwanese regime;party preference
|Issue Date: ||2009-01-13 17:13:53 (UTC+8)|
Conventional wisdom holds that when President Chen Shui-bian faces personal crises, as well as in the Democratic Progressive Party's (DDP) election campaigns, Chen and the party always appeal to the so-called 'deep-green voters' for support, such that these voters factor prominently in determining election outcomes. The purpose of this paper is to define and measure deep-green voters, and also to examine whether the support of deep-green voters is vital for the pan-green parties. The author creates three indices to measure deep-green voters, based around the concepts of Taiwanese consciousness, Taiwanese regime, and party preference. The results show that the three indices have different strengths and weaknesses, but that the Taiwanese regime index performs best in the TEDS2005M survey. The data also shows that the probability that a voter identified from these indices as deep-green votes for pan-green candidates is approximately 90%. Moreover, the number of deep-green voters identified from the Taiwanese consciousness and Taiwanese regime indices make up about one fifth of the electorate. The results indicate that the deep-green voters are vital and staunch supporters of pan-green parties. As identified by the three indices, deep-green voters tend to have the following characteristics: over 50 years old, less-educated (junior high school or less), Bensheng-minnan ethnicity, and lower class.
|Relation: ||問題與研究, 46(1),33-61|
|Data Type: ||article|
|Appears in Collections:||[選舉研究中心] 期刊論文|
[問題與研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文
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