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    Title: 波蘭加入歐盟對其外貿影響之研究
    The Impact on Poland`s Foreign Trade for Joining EU
    Authors: 趙翊如
    Contributors: 魏艾
    趙翊如
    Keywords: 波蘭
    歐盟
    對外貿易
    引力模型
    Date: 2012
    Issue Date: 2013-02-04 09:42:13 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 波蘭於2004年正式加入歐盟,加入歐盟至今已有八年,並於2011年成為歐盟輪值主席國。波蘭加入歐盟是否對其外貿具影響力?本論文透過波蘭參與歐盟的過程、加入歐盟後的經濟面向,以及引力模型進行實證分析。

    從引力模型實證分析結果發現:一、歐盟雖然對波蘭進、出口貿易都具有正相關,但相較於進口方面,對波蘭出口影響程度卻相當微小。可能因素為波蘭加入歐盟後,在進口歐盟地區商品方面,受惠於歐盟規範下的貿易自由化,進口商品更為多元;而波蘭自1993年至2010年以來,出口貿易對象高達九成以上都屬歐洲地區,當然包含歐盟國家,因此無法確切指出波蘭出口額逐年增長的趨勢,完全是受到加入歐盟的影響。不過,整體而言,加入歐盟對波蘭外貿還是具有相當正面的效益。二、貿易國家的國民生產毛額變數,對波蘭外貿具有正面效益,換言之,貿易國家的經濟水準逐漸提升後,使得人民可支配所得增加,進而增加對波蘭商品的購買次數。三、貿易國家的人口變數,對波蘭外貿具有正面效益,表示當貿易國家的人口增加,對波蘭商品的需求量增加,使得兩國貿易量也隨之增加。四、兩國首都距離變數,對波蘭外貿具有負面效益:當兩國首都距離較近時,運輸成本也較低,因此兩國貿易次數頻繁;而當兩國首都距離較遠時,運輸成本提高,使得兩國貿易量減少。
    Reference: 一、中文
    (一)書籍
    洪茂雄,歐盟的深化與廣化:中東歐國家加入歐盟的意義及其影響(臺北:前衛
    出版社,2003年)。
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    張亞中,歐洲統合:政府間主義與超國家主義的互動(臺北:揚智出版社,1998
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    (二)期刊論文
    楊三億,「歐盟東擴及其對波蘭衝擊:政治經濟面向之分析」,全球政治評論,第
    11期(2005),頁79~110。













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    (三)網路資料
    City Distance Tool
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    俄羅斯研究所
    99263007
    101
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0992630071
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[俄羅斯研究所] 學位論文

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