English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Items with full text/Total items : 86088/114761 (75%)
Visitors : 23070953      Online Users : 110
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/58464


    Title: 單一選區兩票制下的一致與分裂投票:2008年立法委員選舉的探討
    Other Titles: Straight-and Split-Ticket Voting under the Mixed-Member Majoritarian System in Taiwan: An Analysis of the 2008 Legislative Election
    Authors: 黃紀;蕭怡靖
    Huang, Chi;Hsiao, Yi-Ching
    Contributors: 政大政治系
    Keywords: 單一選區兩票制;一致與分裂投票;多層分析
    Mixed-Member Majoritarian System;straight-and split-ticket voting;multilevel analysis
    Date: 2010-09
    Issue Date: 2013-06-21 10:34:03 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 2008年立委選舉改採單一選區兩票制,讓台灣選民首度有機會針對同一職位投下兩張選票。本文利用民意調查資料與多層模型的建立,檢視選民採取一致與分裂投票的各種型態及其影響因素。研究結果發現,有高達76.5%的選民採取一致投票,其中47.6%一致投給國民黨,28.7%一致投給民進黨,台聯及客家黨的一致投票則僅合佔0.2%。而採取分裂投票的選民,不論「有無機會」採取一致投票,都出現以藍綠光譜爲主的「聯盟投票」型態。此外,策略投票不但發生在小黨認同者的第一票身上,在政黨票上也會有策略投票的考量,甚至部分國民黨或民進黨認同者,在聯盟席次最大化的考量下,也會將政黨票轉投給同聯盟小黨。多層模型的結果則顯示,年紀愈輕、政治知識愈高,以及對選區候選人的偏好與自身黨性相衝突的選民,皆有顯著偏高的相對機率採取分裂投票。黨性愈強,採取分裂投票之相對機率也愈低。至於當選區中有脫黨參選或強勢獨立候選人參選時,選民即有顯著偏高的相對機率採取分裂投票,凸顯出個人選票在單一選區中的影響效果。而在農業人口比例愈高、政黨版圖勢力愈不明顯的選區,選民採取分裂投票的相對機率也愈高。
    The 2005 constitutional amendment in Taiwan adopts a new mixed-member majoritarian (MMM) electoral system to replace the single nontransferable vote (SNTV) system for legislative elections. The election of the 7th Legislative Yuan held on January 12 of 2008 marked the beginning of a new era of Taiwan's legislative politics since it was the first ever election in Taiwan under the MMM system. Each voter cast two votes: one for the single-member district (SMD) candidate, and the other for the party list. It is interesting to ask how voters allocate their two ballots. This paper analyzes patterns and determinants of straight-and split-ticketing in Taiwan's 2008 election with a multilevel model which integrates individual-level survey data and district-level macro variables. We find that straight-ticket voting is dominant (76.5%), with the KMT claimed 47.6%, the DPP obtained 28.7%, and other small parties, only 0.2%. As to split-ticket voting, the pattern tends to follow the party coalitions of the blue versus green camp. Furthermore, we find that not only small party identifiers tend to vote strategically for the major party candidates of their own "color" camp, as Duverger's law predicts, but some major party identifiers also vote tactically for small parties of their camp on the PR ballot in order to maximize the total number of seats of their preferred coalition. Our multilevel model reveals that, at the individual level, voters who are younger, with higher political knowledge, weaker partisanship, and do not like their parties' nominees are more likely to split their tickets. At the district level, on the other hand, voters who reside in districts with candidates broken off parties or with strong independent candidates are more likely to cast split tickets. This is an indication that personal voting still plays a role in SMD ballots.
    Relation: 臺灣民主季刊, 7(3), 1-43
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[政治學系] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    1-43.pdf10151KbAdobe PDF647View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback