English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 109952/140887 (78%)
Visitors : 46287556      Online Users : 821
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/59555


    Title: 中國大陸A股IPO溢價與破發的程度及機率之決定因素
    Determinants of Overpricing and Underpricing of A-Share IPO in Mainland China
    Authors: 賴明儀
    Lai, Ming I
    Contributors: 黃智聰
    賴明儀
    Lai, Ming I
    Keywords: IPO
    中國大陸
    溢價
    破發
    Probit迴歸模型
    IPO
    China
    Underpricing
    Overpricing
    Probit Model
    Date: 2012
    Issue Date: 2013-09-02 17:24:48 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究的主要目的,在於探討影響2006年後大陸A股IPO首日的破發機率、破發程度、以及溢價程度的決定因素。本研究利用《上海證券交易所統計年鑑》、《深圳證券交易所市場統計年鑑》、以及國泰安CSMAR中國研究系列數據庫,選取2006年後股改完成後,1,145檔IPO,以及Probit迴歸模型與多元迴歸模型進行實証分析。實証結果發現,大陸A股IPO的破發原因主要在於高發行價格與低迷的市場氣氛。另外,本研究也發現,影響大陸A股IPO溢價程度與破發程度的因素不同,而兩者共通的決定因素在於發行價、首日換手率、市場氣氛。最後,本文的分析結果證實,大陸證監會2009年推出的IPO定價市場化政策,有效地改善大陸A股IPO上市首日大幅溢價的現象。
    The purpose of this study is to investigate determinants of overpricing, particularly the probability of overpricing, and underpricing of A-share IPO in China after 2006. This study employs 1.145 A-share IPO data from Shanghai Stock Exchange Statistics Annual, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Fact Book, and GTA’s China stock market data after 2006. Using Probit model and multivariate regressions, the primary finding of this study is that high IPO price and bear market of stock cause high probability of overpricing of A-share IPO. In addition, factors affecting overpricing and underpricing of A-share IPO are quite different. However, common factors are IPO price, first-day turnover rate, and market situation (bear or bull). Finally, this study asserts that the policy of marketization of IPO pricing implemented by China Securities Regulatory Commission in 2009 has been effectively mitigated the tremendous underpricing of A-share IPO since then.
    Reference: 一、中文部分
    上海証券交易所編印(2011),《上海証券交易所統計年鑑》。上海:上海人民出版社。
    中國証券監督管理委員會編印(2011),《中國証券監督管理委員會年報》。北京:中國財政經濟出版社。
    田利輝(2010),「金融管制、投資風險和新股發行的超額抑價」,《金融研究》(北京),2010(4),頁85-100。
    李業、費為銀(2012),「中小板與創業板首次公開募股首日溢價的比較分析」,《安徽工程大學學報》(蕪湖),27(1),頁82-85。
    汪宜霞、夏新平(2008),「IPO首日超額收益:基於抑價和溢價的研究綜述」,《當代經濟管理》(武漢),30(4),頁72-77。
    徐守喜、梁叔翔(2010),「全流通下我國IPO抑價的實証分析」,《金融理論與實踐》(鄭州),2010(10),頁94-97。
    曹鳳歧、董秀良(2006),「我國IPO定價合理性的實証分析」,《財經研究》(上海),32(6),頁4-14。
    郭旻蕙(2012),「新股首日破發程度影響因素實証分析」,《金融與經濟》(南昌),2012(1),頁67-69。
    郭瀟瀟、彭韶兵(2012),「我國IPO定價『破發』原因的財務學思考」,《西南金融》(成都),2012(6),頁44-47。
    陳工孟、高寧(2000),「中國股票一級市場發行抑價的程度與原因」,《金融研究》(北京),2000(8),頁1-12。
    陳冬冬(2011),「IPO破發成因的實証分析」,《特區經濟》(北京),271(8),頁89-91。
    深圳証券交易所信息管理部編印(2011),《深圳証券交易所市場統計年鑑》。北京:中國金融出版社。
    劉永文、樓蔚(2010),「2006年IPO重啟後上証綜指與滬市IPO抑價關係的實証分析」,《貴州財經學院學報》(貴陽),2010(5),頁53-57。
    劉煜輝、沈可挺(2011),「是一級市場抑價,還是二級市場溢價─關於我國新股高抑價的一種檢驗和一個解釋」,《金融研究》(北京),2011(11),頁183-196。
    劉碩(2010),「我國股票市場新股破發現象原因淺析」,《商業時代》(北京),2010(28),頁56-57。
    戴曉鳳、張清海(2005),「中國A股IPO首日超常收益的實証分析」,《浙江金融》(杭州),2005(3),頁32-35。
    二、英文部分
    Booth, James R. and Lena Chua (1996), “Ownership Dispersion, Costly Information and IPO Underpricing.” Journal of Financial Economics, 41(2), 291-310.
    Brennan, M. J. and J. Franks (1997), “Underpricing, Ownership and Control in Initial Public Offerings of Equity Securities in the UK.” Journal of Financial Economics, 45(3), 391-413.
    Chang, Eddy, Chao Chen, Jing Chi, and Martin Young (2008), “IPO Underpricing in China:New Evidence from the Primary and Secondary Markets.” Emerging Market Review, 9(1), 1-16.
    Cheung, Yan-Leung, Zhiwei OuYang, and Weiqiang Tan (2009), “How Regulatory Changes Affect IPO Underpricing in China.” China Economic Review, 20(4), 692-702.
    De Long, J.Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence H. Summers, and Robert J. Waldmann (1990), “Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation.” Journal of Finance, 45(2), 379-395.
    Gannon, Gerard and Yuwei Zhou (2008), “Conflicts of Interest and China’s A-share Underpricing.” International Review of Financial Analysis, 17(3), 491-506.
    Guo, Haifeng, Robert Brooks, and Roland Shami (2010), “Detecting Hot and Cold Cycles Using a Markov Regime Switching Model—Evidence from the Chinese A-share IPO Market.” International Review of Economics and Finance, 19(2), 196-210.
    Guo, Haifeng and Robert Brooks (2008), “Underpricing of Chinese A-share IPOs and Short-run Underperformance under the Approval System from 2001 to 2005.” International Review of Financial Analysis, 17(5), 984-997.
    Heckman, J. (1979), “Sample Selection Bias as Specification Error.” Economitrica, 47(1), 153-162.
    Hill, C. R., W. E. Griffiths, and Guay C. Lim (2008). Principles of Econometrics, 3rd Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
    Lee, Philip. J., Steven. L. Taylor, and Terry. S. Walter (1996), “Australian IPO pricing in the Short and Long run.” Journal of Banking and Finance, 20(7), 1189-1210.
    Lin, Z. Zun and Zhimin Tian (2012), “Accounting conservatism and IPO underpricing: China evidence.” Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 21(2), 127-144.
    Loughran, Tim and Jay R. Ritter (2002), “Why Don’t Issuers Get Upset about Leaving Money on the Table in IPOs?” Review of Financial Studies, 15(2), 413-443.
    Miller, Edward M. (1977), “Risk, Uncertainty, and Divergence of Opinion.” Journal of Finance, 32(4), 1151-1168.
    Nakamura, Hiromasa (2003), “Analysis of Initial Returns Rate in the IPOMarket among 21 Countries.” Economic journal of Hokkaido University, 32(1), 161-181.
    Niu, Xia, Junyan Song, and Pei Guo(2013), “Empirical study on initial public offering (IPO) underpricing and long-run performance: Evidence from China’s A-share market.” African Journal of Business Management, 7(11), 852-861.
    Ritter, Jay R. (1984), “The Hot Issue Market of 1980.” Journal of Business, 57(2), 215-240.
    Rock, Kevin (1986), “Why New Issues are Underpriced?” Journal of Financial Economics, 15(1), 187-212.
    Sohn, Chan-Hyun, Albert K. Tsui, Feng Zhang, and Zhaoyong Zhang (2012), “An Empirical Assessment of A-ShareIPO Under-pricing in China.” Seoul Journal of Business, 18(1), 25-57.
    Su, Dongwei (2004), “Leverage, Insider Ownership, and the Underpricing of IPOs in China.” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 14(1), 37-54.
    Welch, Ivo (1992), “Sequential Sales, Learning, and Cascades.” Journal of Finance, 47(2), 695-732.
    White, H. (1980), “A Heteroskedasticity Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity.” Econometrica, 48, 817-838.
    三、網際網路
    Abidin, Sazali, Krishna Reddy, and Yukun Zhu (2012), “What Causes the Underpricing of IPOs and the Long-run Performance of Stocks?” Social Science Research Network, 2012, < http://papers.ssrn.com/so13/papers.cfm?abstract_id =2139126/>.
    國泰安數據服務中心(2012),CSMAR中國研究系列數據庫,<http://tw.gtadata.com.ezproxy2.lib.nccu.edu.tw/>。
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    行政管理碩士學程
    100921213
    101
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100921213
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[行政管理碩士學程(MEPA)] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File SizeFormat
    index.html0KbHTML2396View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback