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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/64366


    Title: 台北市與台灣全區房屋設算租金之研究
    A Study of Housing Imputed Rent in Taipei City and Taiwan
    Authors: 邱筑華
    Contributors: 陳國樑
    邱筑華
    Keywords: 設算租金
    房屋價格
    住宅市場
    總體經濟變數
    OLS
    Date: 2011
    Issue Date: 2014-03-03 15:37:39 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 房價是台灣重要的公共議題之一,有關房屋價格合理性及其與總體經濟之關聯為本研究所欲探討之主題。國內文獻過去多由房租或所得兩方面分析房價問題,本研究則利用設算租金模型,由購屋者持有成本角度衡量台北市與台灣全區自1993年至2010年之房價狀況。根據本研究計算之結果,台北市在2009年存在房價過高現象,台灣全區則未見此情況。此外,由設算租金指數分解可知,影響購屋者持有成本最重要之兩項因素為利率與購屋者對未來預期,台灣利率自1993年之後皆維持在偏低水準,影響了購屋者購屋意願與房屋價格之成長。為了解不同類型購屋者持有成本與總體經濟市場之關聯,本研究進一步將住宅市場購屋者區分為投資者與自有住宅持有者,根據租金比與總體變數實證結果顯示,投資者關注未來房價預期,而自有住宅持有者則受到利率與貨幣供給額之顯著影響,共同影響兩類購屋者之變數為家戶可支配所得、消費者物價指數與匯率。就本研究之結論,投資者與自有住宅持有者具有差異性,政府提出之不同房價政策可能影響投資者或自有住宅持有者之持有成本及其投資或購屋意願。
    Reference: 吳森田 (1994),「所得、貨幣與房價—近二十年台北地區之觀察」,住宅學報,2,49–65。

    林秋瑾與黃佩玲 (1995),「住宅價格與總體經濟變數關係之研究—以向量自我迴歸模式 (VAR) 進行實證」,政大學報,71,143–160。

    林祖嘉 (1992),「台灣地區房租與房價關係之研究」,台灣銀行季刊,43(1), 279– 312。

    林祖嘉 (2010),「台美房地產泡沫現象之研究」,國科會。

    周世賢 (1994),「台北市不動產泡沫現象之研究」,國立臺灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。

    陳隆麒與李文雄 (1998),「臺灣地區房價、股價、利率互動關係之研究—聯立方程模型與向量自我迴歸模型之應用」,財務金融學刊,5(4),220–244。

    陳明吉 (1989),房地產變動價格及其變動因素之研究,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。

    張金鶚,陳明吉,鄧筱蓉與楊智元 (2009),「台北市房價泡沫知多少?—房價vs.租金、房價vs.所得」,住宅學報,18(2),1–22。

    張金鶚,陳明吉與楊智元 (2010),「台北市房價泡沫之再驗」,國土規劃中心及政治大學社會科學院之台灣房地產中心。

    彭建文與花敬群 (2001),「住宅租買選擇行為之探討—住宅服務品質差異之影響」,台灣土地金融季刊,38 (4),89–107。

    彭建文與吳依妮 (2003),「住宅服務價格之評估—自有者與承租者之差異分析」,土地學術研討會。

    曾建穎,張金鶚與花敬群 (2005),「不同空間、時間住宅租金與其房價關聯性之研究—台北地區之實證現象分析」,住宅學報,14(2),27–49。

    楊忠欽 (1992),大台北地區房價決定模型之實證研究,淡江大學財金研究所碩士論文。

    廖茂成 (2001),「資產市場關聯性與財富效果—台灣股票市場與不動產市場之分析」,中山大學財務管理學系碩士論文。


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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    財政研究所
    99255012
    100
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099255012
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[財政學系] 學位論文

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