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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/65830


    Title: 誰是明日之星:中共中央候補委員的政治潛力分析
    Authors: 陳陸輝;陳德昇;陳奕伶
    Contributors: 選研中心
    Keywords: 中共中央委員;中共候補中央委員;政治潛力;制度化;政治菁英甄補
    member of the CCP Central Commiltee;alternate member of the CCP Central Committee;political potential;institutionalization;political elites recruitment
    Date: 2012.03
    Issue Date: 2014-05-06 16:50:52 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究從年齡、學經歷等各項指標,分析中共第十七屆中央候補委員的政治潛力。本研究認為,當中共政治菁英甄補的過程更加制度化,對於中共未來政治走向的觀察,應該延伸到對中央候補委員的分析。這些今日的候補委員,有很多人是明日政壇的閃亮之星。因此,透過系統性地觀察與統計分析,有助於解讀中共領導人政治甄補路徑、偏好與趨勢。
    In this paper, we employ factors such as age, education, faction, political career, and symbolic indicators to predict the probability of alternate members being recruited to the 18(superscript th) CCP central, committee. As the CCP elite recruitment has become more institutionalized, we should pay more attention on the 17(superscript th) alternate members of the CCP Central Committee who might have potentials to join the power circle in the future. Therefore, we observe and analyze these alternative members systematically, and this study intends to shed some lights on interpreting the preferences and tendencies of politicalelite recruitment in China.
    Relation: 中國大陸研究, 55(1), 1-21
    中共「十八大」政治繼承:持續、變遷與挑戰, 印刻出版公司, pp.97-125
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究中心] 期刊論文

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