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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 金融學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/67104
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/67104


    Title: 探討明星基金績效選時選股、持續性表現-以國內共同基金為例
    Taiwan awarded mutual fund performance-selectivity, market timing and persistence
    Authors: 劉登境
    Liu, Teng Ching
    Contributors: 李桐豪
    劉登境
    Liu, Teng Ching
    Keywords: 擇時
    擇股
    持續性
    明星基金
    Date: 2012
    Issue Date: 2014-07-01 12:07:09 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 因應金融自由化的趨勢,未來將有更多的投信、投顧等基金在台灣上市,
    產品不僅越來越多元,投資方式也將越發嚴謹及專業。投資人的選擇越來越多
    的同時其實也增加其選擇真正合適且優良的投資公司和標的,本研究旨在針對
    國內股票型基金做為分析、評估的樣本,以了解其共同基金績效,孰優、孰劣、
    與一般指數型基金是否真正存在投資價值,而每年年度所選出的得獎基金究竟
    是否擁有參考的價值,還是過去績效不代表未來表現。投資人若要投資基金,
    究竟應否參考所謂的明星基金來投資,本次基金樣本所選取的類型分別為開放
    式股票、中小型股票、科技型股票,按此三種型態基金去判斷是否基金報酬率
    優於市場投資組合?選時能力、選股能力以及持續性又有什麼不同。

    結果顯示,一般的共同型基金並無明顯的擇股能力,亦無擇時能力,甚至
    存在負向的擇時能力。而得獎的基金的確多數存在擇股能力,然而幾乎所有的
    基金均一致沒有擇時能力,甚至有些許得獎基金存在負向的擇時能力,表示大
    多數經理人無法有效預測大盤未來走勢,但在選擇標的上確實有其專業之處。

    同時在基金績效的持續性上,則得到無論是一般型基金還是得獎基金的績
    效表現均是在一至二年的短期內具有持續性,三年以上則不存在績效持續性。
    Reference: Abdel-Kader, M. G., and Qing, K. Y. 2007. Risk-Adjusted Performance, Selectivity,
    Timing Ability and Performance Persistence of Hong Kong Mutual Funds. Journal of
    Asia-Pacific Business.8(2): 25-58

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    and Investment Foundations. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 144(II):153-
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    Bauer, R.; Otten, R., and Rad, A. T. 2006. New Zealand mutual funds: measuring
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    Boney, V.; Comer, G., and Kelly, L. 2005. High quality bond funds: market timing
    ability and performance. Working Paper SSRN. Available at:
    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=670701.

    Christensen, M. 2005. Danish mutual fund performance-selectivity, market timing
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    Elton, E. J.; Gruber, M. J., and Blake, C. R. 2009. An Examination of Mutual Fund
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    51

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    Henriksson, R. D. and Merton, R. C. 1981, “On Market Timing and Investment
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    金融研究所
    100352001
    101
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1003520011
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[金融學系] 學位論文

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