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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/68287


    Title: 景氣循環下的酒品消費分析
    Authors: 黃萬霖
    Contributors: 曾巨威
    羅光達

    黃萬霖
    Keywords: 酒品消費
    景氣循環
    不對稱分析
    家庭收支調查報告
    Date: 2013
    Issue Date: 2014-08-06 11:51:28 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文運用行政院主計總處「台灣地區家庭收支調查報告」的家戶資料作為樣本,分析從1979年至2012年間台灣地區的總體景氣波動對於家庭酒品消費支出是否有顯著的影響,並探討當總體景氣指標處於繁榮期和衰退期,對於家庭酒品的消費支出影響是否不一致。

    本文使用複迴歸模型進行實證,分析總體景氣波動與家庭酒品消費呈現正循環或逆循環關係,以及總體景氣波動繁榮期和衰退期間對家庭酒品消費支出的影響程度是否存在不對稱。主要結論為:總體景氣波動對於全體家庭及低所得家庭的酒品消費支出不顯著,而對於高所得家庭的酒品消費支出呈現顯著正循環。同時,高所得家庭在景氣繁榮期與衰退期有顯著的不對稱性,亦即當景氣繁榮時,高所得家庭的酒品消費支出增加幅度較景氣衰退減少的幅度明顯。
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    96258005
    102
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096258005
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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