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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 統計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/88358
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/88358


    Title: 出國觀光旅客需求預測模式建立之研究
    Authors: 李旭煌
    Lee, Shiung Hwang
    Contributors: 鄭天澤
    Cheng, Teng Cher
    李旭煌
    Lee, Shiung Hwang
    Keywords: 預測模式;平均絕對百分誤差;根均方百分誤差;方向、趨勢變化誤差。
    Forecasting Model;MAPE;RMSPE;Direction of Change Error; Trend Change Error
    Date: 1994
    1993
    Issue Date: 2016-04-29 15:31:02 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 自民國69年政府開放國人出國觀光之後,由於國民所得的提高、台幣的升
    Reference: 行政院主計處(民82-83),國民經濟動向統計季報.
    行政院主計處(民69-82),中華民國統計月報.
    交通部觀光局(民69-83),觀光資料.
    吳柏林等(民81),”台灣地區外籍觀光旅客人數預測模式之探討”,第
    二屆統計模式與預測系列演講,政大應術所.
    徐守德,李鎮旗(民83),”企業銷售預測之方法與實證研究-以台電公
    司為例”,管理評論,第13卷,第一期,23-56.
    陳敦基(民80),”來華觀光旅客之需求特性與時間序列分析”,民國80
    年觀光事業發展學術研討會論文集.
    陳敦基(民82),來華語出國觀光旅客人數預測模式建立之研究,交通
    部觀光局委託研究報告.
    廖啟泰(民78),Minitab使用手冊,台北:儒林書局.


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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    81354012
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002003826
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[統計學系] 學位論文

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