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Title:	適應性預期之財政政策-以能源稅為例 Fiscal Policy with Adaptive Expectation-Taking Energy Tax as an Example
Authors:	李佳頤 Lee, Chia Yi
Contributors:	毛維凌 Mao,Wei Ling 李佳頤 Lee,Chia Yi
Keywords:	適應性預期理性預期能源稅財政政策
Date:	2007
Issue Date:	2016-05-06 16:54:54 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本文乃探討,當預期政府的政策在未來有所改變時,民眾採適應性預期而非理性預期的學習下,經濟體系中的總體變數間究竟產生何種互動,尤其希望透過檢視利率的動態路徑來觀察期間之動態變化. 在一稟賦模型及恆常所得的假設下,藉由政府調整能源稅率之議題,分別探討恆久性政策及暫時性政策下之利率路徑.透過模擬之結果得出,在適應性預期的學習下,利率波動的方向與理性預期成反向之波動變化;其次,模型也可得到,稅額改變的幅度越大,或對於能源消費所佔支出比例越高,經濟體系受到的波動幅度也越大之結果. 納入生產部門並放寬稟賦條件後,若考量要素替代性對於家計單位所得報酬之影響,則兩部門的能源使用量關係方向未定,可能為正,亦可能為負.因此,政府提高能源稅,不一定能降低經濟體系能源的使用量.
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學經濟學系 94258003
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258003
Data Type:	thesis
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Economics] Theses

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