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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94658


    Title: 經濟追蹤投資組合在台灣金融市場之表現
    The Performance of Economic Tracking Portfolios in Taiwan Financial Market
    Authors: 林佳宜
    Lin, Chia Yi
    Contributors: 郭維裕
    Kuo, Weiyu
    林佳宜
    Lin, Chia Yi
    Keywords: 經濟追蹤投資組合
    追蹤
    Economic Tracking Portfolios
    tracking
    Date: 2008
    Issue Date: 2016-05-09 11:26:16 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: An economic tracking portfolio (ETP) is a portfolio of assets whose returns track an economic variable. This paper applies the ETP approach to predicting the future values of macroeconomic variables in Taiwan financial market at different time horizons. We construct the tracking portfolios whose returns have the maximum correlations with the target variables of any base assets. From the analysis, the ETP approach is able to track the changes in the market expectations about future economic variables. Particularly, the returns of the “new economy” stocks and the financial stocks have good explanatory power for the future values of target variables. Furthermore, our results also support for the use of industry portfolios in out-of-sample forecasting.
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    Hayes, S., 2001, Leading Indicator Information in UK Equity Prices: An Assessment of Economic Tracking Portfolios, Bank of England Working Paper No. 137.

    Junttila, J., 2002, Forecasting the Macroeconomy with Current Financial Market Information in Europe and the United States, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper No. 2.

    Junttila, J., and Kinnunen H., 2004, The performance of economic tracking portfolios in an IT-intensive stock market, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 44, 601-623.

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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    國際經營與貿易學系
    95351017
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095351017
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[國際經營與貿易學系 ] 學位論文

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