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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94924


    Title: 家戶對住宅選擇行為之研究
    Authors: 林孟彥
    Contributors: 陳心蘋
    林孟彥
    Keywords: 多項羅吉特模型
    住宅選擇
    巢式多項羅吉特模型
    Date: 2008
    Issue Date: 2016-05-09 13:27:42 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 住宅一直是家戶最重要的選擇之一,瞭解家戶對於住宅選擇之行為對於政府政策的擬定有很大的幫助,學者自1960年代即投入家戶對於住宅選擇行為之研究,在1970年代McFadden提出多項羅吉特模型(Multinomial Logit,MNL)後,MNL在此研究領域中即被廣泛的應用。然而MNL模型存在方案間之「不相干獨立替選方案」(Independence from Irrelevant Alternatives,IIA)特性,使得方案間若存在關連性時,會造成估計的偏誤,影響推論的結果與準確性。

    既然MNL的IIA特性在某些情況下會造成估計偏誤進而影響推論結果與準確性,因此放寬IIA限制的模型即被提出。巢式多項Logit(Nested Multinomial Logit,NMNL )模型允許方案間存在關連性,放寬IIA的特性限制,因此NMNL是更一般化的模型,更能符合現實情況。

    本研究以「中央研究院經濟研究所」民國93年「華人家庭動態資料(PSFD)」為實證資料,以NMNL模型分析家戶對住宅選擇之研究,實證結果發現在選擇次序上,家戶以最先考慮區位、其次為樣式、最後考慮租買的選擇次序最符合實證資料;而在變數上,在家戶屬性方面,家戶所得、家戶人數與戶長年齡對於家戶在選擇住宅時顯著的影響;在住宅屬性方面,坪數、房間數與舒適性對家戶選擇有顯著影響。
    Reference: 一、中文部分
    李信佩(1997),「家戶組成對住宅租購選擇影響之研究」,政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。
    李鎮宏(2001),「新竹市住戶之住宅選擇分析- Logit模式應用」,中華大學建築與都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
    吳京玲(1997),「家戶住宅區位選擇與地方財政理論之實證研究」,成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
    林祖嘉(1990),「反向巢式多項式Logit模型下的住屋需求與租買選擇」,經濟論文,第十八卷第一期,頁137-155。
    林祖嘉(1994),「台灣地區住宅需求與租買選擇之聯合估計」,政治大學學報,第十一卷,頁19-43。
    林祖嘉和陳建良(2005),「租買選擇、貸款選擇、與世代組成:巢式LOGIT模型之應用」,住宅學報,第十四卷,第一期,頁01-20。
    陳彥仲(1997),「住宅選擇之程序決策模式」,住宅學報,第五期,頁37-49。
    陳獻文(2004),「以巢式Logit方法解析程序性住宅選擇模式-以新竹市為例」,中華大學建築與都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
    傅美生(1984),「台北都會區住宅權屬與住宅類型選擇之研究-Logit模型應用」,中興大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
    劉惠雯(1985),「台北都會區社區住宅選擇之研究」,中興大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
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    二、英文部分
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    Brueckner, J.K. , J-F Thisee, and Y. Zenou.(1999), “Why is Central Paris Rich and Downtown Detroit Poor? An Amenity Based Theory”, European Economic Review, 43, 91-107
    Gillingham, R. and Hangemann, R.(1983), “Cross-Sectional Estimation of a Simultaneous Model of Tenure Choice and Housing Services Demand”, Journal of Urban Economics, 14, 16-39.
    Goodman, A.C. and M. Kawai.(1982), “Permanent Income, Hedonic price, and Demand for Housing: New Evidence”, Journal of Housing Economics, 12, 214-237.
    Goodman, A.C.(1988), “An Econometric Model of Housing Pricing, Permanent Income, Tenure Choice, and Housing Demand”, Journal of Urban Economics, 23, 327-353.
    Jones, D.S.(1995), “Testing the Central Prediction of Housing Tenure Transition Models”, Journal of Urban Economics, 38, 50-73.
    Kain, J.F. and Quigley, J.M.(1975), “Housing Market and Racial Discrimination: A Microeconomic Analysis”, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York.
    Lancaster, K.J.(1966), “A New Approach to Consumer Theory”, Journal of Political Economy, 74, 132-156.

    Lerman, S.R.(1977), “Location, Housing, Automobile Ownership and Mode to Work: A Joint Choice Model”, Transportation Research Record, 610, 6-11.
    Li, M.M.(1977), “A Logit Model of Homeownership”, Econometrica, 45, 1081-1097.
    Lierop, W.F.J van.(1986), “Spatial Interaction Modelling and Residential Choice Analysis”, Aldershot(England):Gower.
    Mayo,SK.(1981), “Theory and Estimation in the Economics of Housing Demand”, Journal of Urban Economics, 11, 95-116.
    McFadden, D., Train, K. and Tye, W.B.(1977), “An Application of Diagnostic Test for the Independence from Irrelevant Alternatives Property of the Multinomial Logit Model”, Transportation Research Record, 637, 39-46.
    Megbolugbe, Isaac, F.(1989), “A Hedonic Index Model: The Housing Market of Jos Nigeria”, Urban Studies, 26, 486-494.
    Quigley, J.M.(1985), “Consumer Choice of Dwelling, Neighborhood and Public Service”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 15, 41-63.
    Ridker, R., and J. Henning.(1967), “The Determinants of Residential Property Value with Special Reference to Air Pollution”, Review of Economic Statistics, 44, 147-157.
    Rosen, S.(1974), “Hedonic Price and Implicit Market: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition”, Journal of Political Economy, 82, 34-55.
    Rosen, S. and Holtz-Eakin, D.(1984), “Housing Tenure, uncertain and Taxation”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 66, 405-416.
    Seko, M.(1991), “the Effect of Inflation on Japanese Homeownership Rates: Evidence from Time-Series”, Economic Studies Quarterly, 42, 155-163.
    Yonemoto, K.(2006), “Endogenous Determination of Historical Amenities and the Residential Location Choice”, The Annals of Regional Science.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    95258024
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095258024
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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