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    Title: 小國軍事危機處理模式研究
    Authors: 朱延智
    Contributors: 林碧炤
    詹中原

    朱延智
    Date: 1999
    Issue Date: 2016-05-11
    Reference: 一、中文專書部份:
    1.丁中江,戰略與世局, (台北:春秋雜誌社,民國七十五年)
    2.三軍大學編著,中國歷代戰爭史, (台北:黎明文化公司,民國六十九年) .
    3 王國畫,一個中國與兩岸統一, (台北:寰宇出版社,民國八十五年五月)
    4 王建東著,孫子兵法, (台北:智揚出版社,中華民國八十一年) .
    5 王光緒、彭光謙,軍事戰略簡論, (北京:解放軍出版社,一九八七年) .
    6. 中國國民黨陸工會編印,中共對台政策及兩岸關係之研究, (民國八十五年七
    月) .
    7.毛澤東,毛澤東選集, (北京:中共中央文獻研究室, 1991) .
    8.立法院國防委員會主辦,國防政策研討會紀錄, (台北:立法院民國八十二年十
    月) .
    9.外交部新聞文化司編印,近年來中共在國際間謀我事例, (台北:外交部,民
    國八十四年三月) .
    10 共黨問題研究中心編印,兩岸關係大事紀(民國八十五年) ,中華民國八十
    六年.
    1 1.朱張碧珠,國際關係一一理論與實踐, (台北:三民書局,民國八十四年二月) .
    12.朱法源,卡爾巴伯, (台北:風雲論壇出版社,民國八十年一月) .
    13 .列寧,列寧全集, (北京:人民出版社, 1984 年) .
    14 宋宏煦,武嚇與危機, (台北:幼獅文化事業公司,民國八十五年九月初版)
    15.行政院大陸委員會編印,大陸工作簡報刊台北:行政院大陸委員會,中華
    民國八十三年十月) .
    16 .行政院大陸委員會編印,大陸工作簡報刊台北:行政院大陸委員會,中華
    民國八十五年一月)
    17.吳宜蓁,議題管理, (台北: 正中書局,民國八十七年四月) .
    18 .吳景亭,戰爭動員, (北京:解放軍出版社, 1988 年4 月) .
    19.吳惠林,台灣經濟演義,(台北:中華徵信所企業股份有限公司,民國八十七
    年三月) .
    20.吳安家,台海兩岸關係的回顧與前瞻, (台北:永業出版社,民國八十五年
    十一月) .
    2 1.李登輝,經營大台灣, (台北:遠流出版社, 一九九五年) .
    22.李長貴,社會心理學,中華民國六十三年初版,台北:台灣中華書局) .
    23 .林中斌,核霸:透視跨世紀中共戰略武力, (台北市:台灣學生書局, 1999
    年2 月) .
    24 林宏展,中國解放軍X 檔案, (台北:本土文化出版, 1996 ) .
    25林彩梅,多國籍企業論, (台北市:五南圖書出版公司,民國八十一年十月)
    26林郁方,危險的預言, (台北市:翰蘆圖書出版公司總經銷,一九九五年) .
    27 林碧焰,國際政治與外交政策, (台北:五南圖書公司,民國86 年)
    28.林義男,統計學導論, (台北:巨流出版社,.民國七十四年九月)
    29.真如譯,第十一次大溫疫:即將爆發的全球生化大戰,(台北市:智庫文化,
    1998 年6 月)
    30祝振華譯,快刀斬亂麻,一九六七年以阿戰爭實錄, (台北:幼獅書店印行,
    民國五十九年) .
    31.袁文靖,中東戰爭史, (台北:國際現勢週刊吐,民國七十四年) .
    32.袁宗蔚,危險管理, (台北: 三民書局,中華民國八十一年初版) .
    33.徐正祥譯,中東研究導論, (台北:中華民國阿拉伯文化經濟協會,民國八十
    二年十二月十六日) .
    34 納忠&朱凱,傳承與交融:阿拉伯文化, (台北:淑馨出版社,民國八十三年
    四月) .
    35.柴松林,統計學, (台北:三民書局,民國八十二年) .
    36 .高尚仁,心理學新論, (台北:揚智文化有限公司, 199 6 年9 月) .
    37 .黃慧貞,人格心理學, (台北:心理出版社有限公司,民國八十四年) .
    38 黃大受,中國近代史(下冊) , (台北: 大中國圖書有限公司,民國四十四年
    一月) .
    39. 國防部史政編譯局編印,中國戰爭大辭典, (台北:黎明文化出版公司,民國
    七十八年) .
    40.國防部總政戰部編印,波灣戰爭之戰術心戰{三) ,民國八十年
    4 1.國防部編印,波灣戰爭心理策略指導與作為,民國八十年
    42.國防部主編,中華民國八十七年國防報告書, (台北:黎明文化公司,民國
    八十七年三月初版) .
    43.馮作民,黎明創建時代, (台北: 萬象圖書有限公司, 1995 年5 月)
    44.郭繼章譯,六日戰爭, (台北:黎明文化事業公司,民國七十七年七月) .
    的陳昭朗,傳播社會學, (台北:黎明文化公司,民國八十一年三月) .
    46.許信良,挑戰李登輝, (台北:新新聞文化有限公司, 1995 年7 月) .
    47 翁明賢等合著,國際組織新論, (台北:五南圖書出版公司,民國84 年10 月)
    48 彭光謙、陽明傑、魯石,中國為什麼說不? (香港:新天出版社,一九九六年
    十一月) .
    49.郭為藩,現代心理學說, (台北:師大書苑'民國八十一年) .
    50.郭進隆、楊碩英譯,第五項修練, (台北:天下文化公司, 1998 年4 月第一
    版37 次印行) .
    5 1.新新聞編譯小組譯,水的戰爭, (台北:新新聞文化事業有限公司, 1994 年10月) .
    52.張華碟,社會心理學, (台北:三民書局民國七十三年) .
    53 .張旭成,一個新時代的開端一台灣外交與台灣安全, (台北:月旦出版公司,
    1997 年1 月) .
    54 .張國興,台灣人教材, (台北:前衛出版社" 1993 年) .
    55 .張春興編著,張氏心理學辭典,(台北:台灣東華書局,一九九五年十一月一
    版) .
    56.張德雄、魏新州譯,中東列國新誌, (台北:中華民國阿拉伯文化經濟協會,
    民國七十五年十一月)
    57.楊國樞,社會及行為科學研究法, (台北:東莘書局,民國七十五年三月) .
    58.費正清主編,中華民國共和國史, (上海了上海人民出版社,一九九二年出
    版) .
    59 .裘兆琳,美國外交與危機處理, (台北:中央研究院歐美戶斤,民國八十二年)
    60 越英,新的國家安全觀) (雲南:雲南人民出版社) 1992 年1 2 月) .
    6 1 黎承開譯,沙漠雄鷹) (台北: 麥田出版社) 1 996 年5 月) .
    62 熊自慶譯,沙達姆海珊與波斯灣危機) (台北:中華書局,民國79 年12月) .
    63 蔡文華編著,尉練子兵法) (台南:文園書局1 1996 年) .
    64.漢清&陳衛平譯,群眾與權力) (板橋:駱駝出版社,民國七十六年) .
    65 蔣緯國,國防體制概論) (台北: 三軍大學,民國六十二年) .
    66 .鄭浪平,一九九五閏八月) (台北:商周文化發行,民國八十三年) .
    67.賴景瑚,國際問題論叢) (台北: 時報出版有限公司,民國六十五年四月) .
    68.劉永,西方大眾傳播學: 從經驗學派到大眾學派) (台北: 遠流出版公司) 1990年) .
    69 劉安彥,社會心理學, (台北: 三民書局,已民國八十二年三月)
    70.劉麗貞譯,戰爭心理學, (台北: 麥田出版社民國八十四年) .
    7 1.韓應寧譯,危機管理, (台北:天下雜誌'.1987 年4 月) .
    72.謝士楷譯,戴陽傳, (台北:七十年代出版公司,民國六十五年五月三版) .
    73 聶全林主編,國際環境與未來國防, (北京: 國防大學出版社, 1989 年6 月〉
    74.羅添斌,軍事強人李登輝, (台北:福爾摩沙出版,民國八十四年) .
    75 龐祖勘譯,以色列國防軍, (台北: 黎明文化公司,民國七十四年八月) .
    二、中文論文部份:
    1.李登科, 「南向政策與務實外交之研究」' 務實外交與兩岸關係研討會論文,中華民國八十六年六月二十五日.
    2 林宗達,中共軍事演習之研究碩士論文,中山太學政治研究所,民國八十六

    3 柯三吉, 「政府各級部門應強化危機管理的能力」' 政治大學危機管理研討會
    論文,民國八十八年五月五日
    4.裘兆琳,「一九九五~一九九六年台海危機.) ' 中美關係專題研究:1995~1996
    年學術研討會論文
    三、期刊部份:
    1.中共研究雜誌社編印,「中共一九九七年報」,一九九七年六月,頁2-95-99.
    2 .「立法院第二屆第二會期外交及僑政、經濟、國防三委員會第一次聯席會議
    記錄」 '立法院公報,第八十二屆第七十三期,中華民國八十二年十二月二十
    二日.
    3 外交部,中華民國外交年鑑, (台北:外交部外交年鑑編輯委員會,民國七十
    七、七十八、七十九、八十、八十一、八卡二、八十四年) .
    4. 外交部新聞文化司,近年來中共在國際問謀我事例,民國八十四年三月,頁
    2-4.
    5.「 生為台灣人的悲哀」 ' 塹堇遑噩,第十四期,中華民國八十三年七月,頁
    4.
    6 .台灣經濟研究院「 國際經濟情事週報( 1126) 」 、「國際經濟情事週報(1 127)」 、
    「國際經濟情事週報( 11 33)」 、「國際經濟情事週報(1 1 35)」' 行政院經濟建設
    委員會,民國八十五年三月二十一日至五月二十三日.
    7 包宗和, 「 從中共文攻武嚇看兩岸問題的頭結」' 政治科學論叢,第七期,民國85 年5 月,頁305.
    8. 「以色列新任國防部長戴陽」 '國際現勢週刊,第五八八期,中華民國五十六
    年六月十二日,頁8.
    9. 曲濤,「急於建功的中共二砲部隊提作戰方案」' 歪鹽,一九九六年一月,頁21 。
    10. 李怡,「中共對台的主戰派和主和派」' 九十年代, 1996 年2 月.
    1 1.吳燕玲,「 深度報導政府因應中共軍事威脅的決策過程」 新新聞週刊, 1996
    年3 月17 日,頁25.
    12. 「 中東戰爭是否擴大」' 國際現勢週刊,第五八八期,民國五十六年六月十二日,頁6.
    13.林安, 「 那個行業在發國難財」 '新新聞週刊4 民國八十五年三月十九日一一二十三日,頁77.
    14.林文程,“後冷戰時期美國的國家安全策略"蓋旦旦旦,第8 卷第5 期,
    民國82 年6 月,頁7- 10.
    的林碧焰,“論危機處理:美國的研究與經驗再評估"美監旦旦,民國84 年5 月,
    第十卷第五期,頁6.
    16.林正義, 「 國家安全會議定位及功能調整雛議江,國家發展論壇,民國八十五年八月
    17.林正義, 「 美國在台海危機的角色」' 國家政策雙週刊, NO.34 , 1996 年3 月19日,頁5-7.
    18 邱銘輝, 「 外島夜間提昇至狀況二;最高原則避免擦槍走火」' 新新聞週刊,
    1996 年3 月17-23 日,頁38.
    19.邱銘輝, 「 兩岸軍事過招,九種版本大公開」' 新新聞週刊, 1996 年3 月10-16 日,頁18-21
    20唐龍, 「 潛台共諜知多少一一台灣國安首腦談,情報工作」 '開放雜誌, 1998 年8 月,頁66.
    2 1.沈浩源, 「 中共軍事演習效應一一股市篇」'" 新新聞週刊,民國八十
    五年三月十七至二十三日,頁86-87 .
    22.陳建生, 「 中國歷代烽火制度」 '星星星血汗一九九八年三月,頁12
    23.楊立傑&梁至正, 「 中共軍事演習效應一一民防篇」 ' 471 期,新新聞週刊,民國八十五年,三月十七日一二十三日,實95-96.
    24經濟部研發會編印, 「 三次共軍演習期間我國內經濟之情勢變化及兩岸經質
    展望」 '焦點經濟問題檢析系列,民國八十六年一月-
    25經濟部研發會編印, 「當前國內經濟情勢發展特徵及政策建議」' 焦點經濟問
    題檢析系列,民國八十五年九月,頁20-5..
    26.鄧家駒, 「 風險衡量與其理論基礎」' 中國行政,﹒民國八十八年二月,頁的-53.
    27 .謝曉陽, 「 兩岸變局成了台灣顯學」 '九十年代, 1996 年3 月,頁16 .
    28.黎自京, 「 中共誇言演習效果」' 歪鹽,一九九六年四月,頁13.
    29.黎自京, 「 中共對台最新動態」 '室鹽,一九九六年二月,頁2 1.
    30.羅冰, 「 五百將軍請戰鷹派批江右傾:美艦引發中共內爭」 歪鹽,一九九六
    年四月,頁6-7.
    3 1.羅冰, 「 北京評朱訪美褒貶不-:- 」 ' 壹鹽,于九九九年五月,頁9.
    32.Flak , 「 最可能的危險一談中共飛彈攻擊」 ,:全球防衛雜誌,民國八十七年六月,頁的-47.
    四、報紙:
    1.人民日報、解放軍報編輯部, 「 捍衛祖國統一是人民軍隊的天職」' 一九九六年三月十六日,版(
    2 大公報, 「 江澤民重申對台工作立場: 台分裂活動一天不停止,鬥爭一天也不會停止」 ' 1996 年3 月9 日,版一.
    3. 中央社, 「 歐洲議會再促中共停止武嚇」 '自由時報,民國八十五年二月十七日,版一.
    4.外電報導, 「 歐美力促中共自制,停止挑釁」 '中央日報,民國八十七年二月
    十六日,版二.
    5. 「 共軍鷹派施壓中共調整對台政策」 ' 自立早報, 1995 年6 月16 日,版九.
    5 呂紹強, 「 中共演習部隊完成集結,暫按兵不動」 '中國時報,八十五年二月
    十八日,版一.
    6 何振忠、&羅曉荷, 「 李總統:統一需要法律基礎」 '聯合報,民國八十七年十
    二月十日,版一.
    7.李耀杉, 「 國防部: 依情資判斷應有攻打外島能力」 '青年日報,民國八十八
    年五月七日,版二
    8 李建榮, 「 連戰:中共應停止挑釁舉措」' 中盛時報,民國八十五年三月六日,版二.
    9 李麗,慎, 「 解放台灣: 立委指中共三師人馬潛伏台灣」 '台灣時報,民國八十四年八月十日,版一.
    10. 明報, 「 北京擬向台島嶼發射飛彈」 ' 85 年2 月27 日.
    1 1.沈麗山, 「 中共二砲部隊素質高」 '中國時報,民國84 年2 月25 日,版3.
    12. 「 美國國防部長根據一九九九會計年度撥款法案的規定向國會所做的報告」 .
    聯合報,民國八十八年二月二十七日,版十三
    13 「美國國防部送交國會TMD 公開版本」 '中國時報,民國八十八年四月三十
    日,版三
    14.唐飛, 「 強化科技作戰、提高國防人力素質」' 青年日報,民國八十八年五月七日,版三
    15 陳永誠, 「 政府決力維股、匯市穩定」 '中國時報,民國八十五年三月六日,版三
    16 陳秀蘭, 「 白米存量近百萬公噸夠吃七個月」 .,.中國時報,民國八十五年三月六日,版三
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    18 達理, 「 李登輝其人」 '人民日報海外版,一九九五年八月二十四日,版一。
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    20 新華社, 「 中國人民解放軍將在東海和南海進行海空實彈演習」 '人民日報,1996 年3 月10 日,版一.
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    22.蕭銘園, 「 因應兩岸變局、成立決策小組」' 中央日報,民國八十五年二月十三日,版一.
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    25.裴利&卡特, 「 預防性防禦」 '聯合報,民國人十八年三月十二日,版二
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    27.聯合報編譯組, 「 1996 年台海危機秘辛」, 聯合報,八十七年六月二十二日,版三.
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    4.Steven Lee Myers, "U.S . Hit More Iraqi Missile Sites", International Herald Tribune , January 1 , 1999 , pl
    Description: 博士
    國立政治大學
    東亞研究所
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