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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 統計學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/110651
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/110651


    Title: 探討臺北市人口特性與不動產交易之關聯性
    Discussing on the connection between demographic characteristics and real estate transaction characteristics of Taipei city
    Authors: 陳京群
    Contributors: 鄭宇庭
    陳京群
    Keywords: 社會經濟資料庫
    資料探勘
    集群分析
    人口結構
    實價登錄
    不動產交易
    Social-economic databse
    Population structure
    Actual selling price
    Real estate transaction
    Cluster analysis
    Data mining
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2017-07-03 14:35:15 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 在全球開放資料的趨勢下,各國政府皆把資料開放當作重大政策,包含美國始於 2009 年,總統 Barack Obama 在就任當天,簽署了〈透明與開放政府備忘 錄〉,而英國政府也提出了政府資料開放相關計畫。我國自民國101年11月行政院通過「政府資料開放推動策略」起,開啟國內Open Data政策新頁,更於民國104年於行政院院會報告「政府開放資料的回顧與展望」,毛前院長宣示104年為Open Data深化應用元年,可見政府積極推動相關政策因應,因此,本研究從政府開放資料庫中收集資料,並將資料之間做串接應用而獲取資訊。
    從文獻回顧中,了解不動產交易特性中的房價與許多人口特性有確實的關聯性,包含人口密度、性比例、扶幼比、老化指數、可支配所得、有偶率和教育程度,其係近年來房價高漲且在不動產買賣的過程中,最直接的就是價錢,可以理解大多數研究多會選擇針對不動產交易特性中的房價做探討,而較少提到不動產交易其他特性與人口特性之間的關係,而本研究就政府提供的實價登錄交易資料中,發現許多不動產交易特性包括建物格局等等變數皆可和許多人口特性做結合,因此,本研究收集臺北市各區里人口特性與不動產交易特性的資料,從探索性分析中了解臺北市區里人口特性與不動產交易特性的概況,接著,更進一步透過集群分析的方式找出區域性現象,了解人口特性與不動產交易特性的關聯性。
    In the global trend of Open Data, governments regard Open Data as a major policy, including the United States in 2009, President Barack signed the "Transparency and Open Government Memorandum" on the day which he took office, and the British Government has proposed the Government Information related programs. In November 2012, the Executive Yuan started a new policy field through the "Strategy for Promoting Open Government Information". Furthermore, in 2015, the former President of Executive Yuan, Mao, announced that it was the first year of the Open Data application from the Executive Yuan year report. Therefore, this study collects data from the government`s open database and uses it in tandem to obtain information.
    From literature, it is clear that house price is related with many demographic characteristics, including Population Density, Sex Ratio, Young Age Population Dependency Ratio, Aging Index, Disposable Income, Education Level. Because of the high rising house price which is an important factor during real estate transaction, most of the researchers focus on discussing the house price and rarely mention about other real estate characteristics. However, I found that there might be some connection between demographic characteristics and many real estate transaction characteristics, including the pattern of buildings, and so on. Thus, at first, this study collects the demographic characteristics and real estate transaction characteristics data in the villages of Taipei. Then, understand the characteristics of all Taipei villages through exploratory data analysis. Furthermore, using cluster analysis to find out the regional relationship between demographic characteristics and real estate transaction characteristics.
    Reference: 一、 中文部分
    1. 林英彥(2000),不動產估價,第九版,文笙書局。
    2. 艾兆蕾(2005),影響住宅地區地價因素之空間分析-以鄉鎮與縣市為例,世新大學管理學院經濟學系碩士論文。
    3. 陳斌山(2006) ,人口及產業特性分佈與地價之關係-以苗栗縣為例,逢甲大學土地管理學系(所) 碩士論文。
    4. 顏邦睿(2008) ,應用屠能圈探討台北都會區土地使用之模式,中國文化大學環境設計學院建築及都市計畫研究所碩士論文。
    5. 黃立雲(2011) ,都市地價變動與趨勢多層次成長模型之應用,國立屏東商業技術學院碩士論文。
    6. 徐美、陳明郎等(2006),台灣產業結構變遷和性別歧視對男女薪資溢酬變動趨勢之影響,中央研究院經濟研究所經濟論文。
    7. 楊文、王巍(2007) ,探討濟南市人口與房地產業的可持續發展,科技諮詢導報。
    8. 王日楠(2015),台灣人口特性與住宅地價之關係,逢甲大學土地管理學系碩士學位論文。
    9. 徐建煒、徐奇淵等(2012),房價上漲背後的人口結構因素:國際經驗與中國證據,世界經濟。
    10. 鄭惠如(2006) ,人口結構變遷對房地產價格影響之研究,東吳大學國際貿易學系碩士班國際貿易金融組碩士論文。
    11. 孫蕾、常天驕等(2014),中國人口老齡化空間分佈特徵及與經濟發展的同步性研究,華東師範大學學報(哲學社會科學版)。
    12. 童作君(2008) ,住宅特徵價格模型之多層次分析,國立台灣大學經濟論文 叢刊。
    13. 郎東崗(2012) ,武漢市人口結構與住宅地價關係的實證研究,華中農業大學碩士學位論文。
    14. 韓乾(2013) ,土地資源環境經濟學,五南書局。
    15. 彭建文、蔡怡純(2012),人口結構變遷對房價影響分析,行政院國科會專題研究計畫(102-2410-H-305 -047 -MY2 )之部分研究成果
    16. 楊雅婷 (2011),不同年齡層不同時期住宅自有率之分析,國立政治大學地政學系、私立中國地政研究所碩士論文。 
    二、 英文部分:
    1. Bayer、Ferreira、McMillan (2007),A Unified Framework for Measuring Preferences for Schools and Neighborhoods, National Bureau Of Economic Research.
    2. Shoshany, M. & Goldshleger, N. (2002). Land use and population changes in Israel,1950 to 1990: Analysis of regional and local trends, Land Use Policy.
    3. Wang R. (2009). The Structure of Chinese Urban Land Prices: Estimates from Benchmark Land Price Data, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics.
    4. Maermig, W. & Dust, L. (2008). Shrinking and growing metropolitan areas asymmetric real estate Price reactions? Regional Science and Urban Economics.
    5. Yowaldi, (2012). The Relation between Land Price and Distance to CBD in Bekasi, Erasmus University.

    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    統計學系
    104354022
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104354022
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[統計學系] 學位論文

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