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    Title: 我國金控公司經營績效與風險之研究-以子公司組合與市佔率為例
    A study on financial holding companies` performance and risk: Evidence from subsidiary combination and market share
    Authors: 陳時年
    Chen, Shih Nien
    Contributors: 陳彩稚
    陳時年
    Chen, Shih Nien
    Keywords: 金融控股公司
    子公司組合
    經營績效
    經營風險
    雙引擎策略
    Financial holding companies
    Subsidiary combination
    Operation performance
    Operation risk
    Dual-engine strategy
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2017-08-10 09:48:10 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究利用複迴歸模型與追蹤資料模型,透過子公司市佔率探討金控子公司組合,與公司績效及風險之關聯性,期望能找出何種子公司組合,對於金控公司的績效與風險最有影響。依據2002-2015之季資料,本文主要研究結果如下:

    (一)若以全產業角度而言,壽險業、證券業與票券業市佔率,對於金控績效與風險影響較為顯著。壽險業市佔率增加,會提高金控之系統風險與個別風險,而證券業市佔率增加,會提高金控的總風險、系統風險與個別風險。本研究推測主要原因為壽險業與證券業的產業風險較高,容易影響金控之經營風險,故有此現象。
    (二)金控若採用雙引擎策略,可以降低金控之總風險與系統風險,亦即雙引擎策略對金控之風險經營有穩健的效果。
    (三)以銀行業與壽險業組合為探討對象時,則發現銀行業市佔率提高,可能使金控之破產風險上升,而壽險業的市佔率提高,金控之總風險與系統風險亦會提升。此結果顯示銀行與壽險業的子公司組合無法有效改善金控之風險因子。
    (四)以銀行業與產險業組合為探討對象時,則發現銀行市佔率提升,可能使金控之各項風險因子增加,並且會降低風險調整後的報酬。而產險業市佔率增加,則會降低金控績效,並提高金控之破產風險。
    (五)以銀行業與證券業組合為探討對象時,則發現證券業市佔率增加,僅會顯著增加金控之個別風險。
    (六)以銀行業與票券業組合為探討對象時,則發現銀行業市佔率增加,可能使金控之績效下降,並提高金控之破產風險,然而若票券業市佔率提高,反而會增加金控之經營績效,並降低破產風險。
    This study analyzes the effect of the subsidiary combination and market share on the performance and risk of financial holding companies (FHCs). Based on the data of 2002Q1-2015Q4, the empirical result can be summarized as follows.

    1. From the viewpoint of the whole industry, there is a significant relation between the market share of the subsidiaries and the performance and risk of FHCs. The result shows there is a positive effect of life insurance market share on systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk. And there is a positive effect of securities market share on total risk, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk.
    2. FHCs can reduce their total risk and systematic risk by taking dual-engine strategy. The result shows that dual-engine strategy is a sound strategy for FHCs’ operation.
    3. For the subsidiary combination of bank and life insurer, there is a positive relation between bank market share and insolvency risk. And there is a positive relation among life insurance market share, total risk and systematic risk.
    4. For the subsidiary combination of bank and property insurer, there is a positive relation among bank market share and FHCs’ risk. And there is a negative relation between property insurance market share and FHCs’ performance.
    5. For the subsidiary combination of bank and securities company, there is a positive relation between securities market share and idiosyncratic risk.
    6. For the subsidiary combination of bank and bills company, the increase of bank market share is unfavorable for FHCs’ operation, but the increase of bills company is beneficial for FHCs’ operation.
    Reference: 一、中文文獻
    1.王甡(1999)。證券商對市場風險之內部控管初探。證交資料,第四四一期,1-12。
    2.吳登彰、吳瑞雄、馬昌璇(2005)。票券金融公司營運現況與未來展望。證券櫃檯,第77期,216-218。
    3.李德銘(2005)。合組金融控股公司對子公司經營效率影響之研究。朝陽科技大學,財務金融系碩士班,台中。
    4.李瑩瑟(2006)。金控公司的風險管理機制與管理者的關係。國立政治大學,金融研究所,台北。
    5.沈中華,彭金隆,陳業寧(2010)。我國金融控股公司整體經營績效評比。新北:前程文化事業出版。
    6.林維義(2004)。金融預警制度與金融控股公司之風險管理。存款保險資訊季刊,17卷5期,1-36。
    7.林嬋娟(2001)。我國綜合證券商風險管理之研究。國立台灣大學,會計學研究所,台北。
    8.林樵谷(2009)。金控環境下對壽險公司經營之分析。國立交通大學,經營管理研究所,台北。
    9.姚佩珊(2013)。不同金控資產規模其財務績效對股價報酬影響之研究。國立台北大學,國際財務金融碩士在職專班,新北。
    10.胡曉方(2005)。商品組合策略對保險風險之影響。逢甲大學,統計與精算所,台中。
    11.孫樹柏(2002)。我國票券業經營與風險管理之研究。銘傳大學,金融研究所,台北。
    12.徐士閔(2014)。我國金控公司子公司組合與雙引擎策略對金控績效與風險影響之分析。國立政治大學,風險管理與保險研究所,台北。
    13.徐明智(2016)。泛公股金控公司發展雙引擎策略之研究-以M金控(股)公司為例。國立政治大學,經營管理碩士學程(EMBA),台北。
    14.張雲翔(2005)。商業銀行跨業經營利潤與風險的全球實證分析。國立政治大學金融研究所,台北。
    15.郭馥綺(2008)。RBC制度實施前後,我國壽險公司資本與風險之關係研究。國立政治大學,風險管理與保險研究所,台北。
    16.陳仲明(2014)。台灣銀行業企業金融信用風險管理之探討。國立政治大學,經營管理碩士學程(EMBA),台北。
    17.陳美玲(2002)。金融控股公司法對我國金融業之財富與風險效果分析。朝陽科技大學,財務金融系碩士班,台中。
    18.彭千惠(2017)。台灣保險業風險承擔行為之分析-金融控股公司 v.s.非金融控股公司。朝陽科技大學,保險金融管理系碩士班,台中。
    19.楊富茗(2010)。臺灣的金融控股公司策略評比。國立台灣大學,財務金融學研究所,台北。
    20.劉秀玲、鄭鴻章(2010)。金控公司架構與非利息收入業務對台灣銀行業經營效益與風險之影響。台灣金融財務季刊,第11輯第4期,1-31。
    21.劉宜珊(2011)。財產保險業銀行保險通路績效之研究。銘傳大學風險管理與保險研究所,台北。
    22.蔡政憲、王為倩(2001)。銀行跨業兼營保險之模擬分析。風險管理學報,第三卷,第一期,71-97。
    23.鄭瑞真(2001)。成立金融控股公司之投資效率與風險評估-以我國銀行為例。國立中央大學,財務金融研究所,桃園。
    24.蕭樺慈(2005)。台灣地區金融控股公司績效分析-財務指標實證。淡江大學,財務金融學系碩士班,新北。
    25.賴怡洵、林文昌、李佩純(2012)。金融整合對金融控股公司資金成本之影響。中山管理評論,20卷4期,1177-1211。
    26.簡湘庭(2013)。金控公司多角化程度對經營風險之影響。國立政治大學,風險管理與保險研究所,台北。
    27.蘇玲瑢(2006)。金控公司與非金控公司風險承擔之研究。朝陽科技大學,財務金融系碩士班,台中。

    二、英文文獻
    1. Albert, S. (2015). “US bank holding companies: Structure of activities and performance through the cycles”. International Review of Financial Analysis, vol. 42:253-269.
    2. Allen, L., and Jagtiani, J. (2000). “The risk effects of combining banking, securities, and insurance activities”. Journal of Economics and Business, vol. 52(6):485-497.
    3. Baranoff, E. and Sager, T. W. (2011). “The interplay between insurers’ financial and asset risks during the crisis of 2007–2009”. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, vol. 36(3):348-379.
    4. Biase, P. D., and Apolito, E. D. (2012). “The determinants of systematic risk in the Italian Banking System: A cross-sectional time series analysis”. Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(11):152-164.
    5. Boyd, J. H., and Runkle, D. E. (1993). “Size and performance of banking firms: testing the predictions of theory”. Journal of Monetary Economics, vol.31 (1):47-67.
    6. Boyd, J. H. and Graham, S. L. and Hewitt, R. S. (1993). “Bank holding company mergers with nonbank financial firms: Effects on the risk of failure”. Journal of Banking & Finance, vol. 17(1): 43-63.
    7. Brighi, P. B. and Venturelli, V. (2014). “How do income diversification, firm size and capital ratio affect performance? Evidence for bank holding companies”. Journal of Applied Financial Economics, vol. 24(21):1375-1392.
    8. De Haan, J. D., and Poghosyan, T. (2012). “Size and earnings volatility of US bank holding companies”. Journal of Banking & Finance, vol. 36(11):3008-3016.
    9. DeYoung, R., and Roland, K. P. (2001). “Product mix and earnings volatility at commercial banks: Evidence from a degree of total leverage model”. Journal of Financial Intermediation, vol. 10(1):54-84.
    10. Laderman, E. S. (2010), “The potential diversification and failure reduction benefits of bank expansion into nonbanking activities”. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco: 36.
    11. Lo, S. F., and Lu, W.M. (2009), “An integrated performance evaluation of financial holding companies in Taiwan”. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 198(1):341-350.
    12. Shim, J. (2013), “Bank capital buffer and portfolio risk: The influence of business cycle and revenue diversification”. Journal of Banking & Finance, vol. 37(3):761-772.
    13. Stiroh, K. J. and Rumble, A. (2006), “The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies”. Journal of Banking & Finance, vol. 30(8): 2131-2161.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    風險管理與保險學系
    104358012
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104358012
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[Department of Risk Management and Insurance] Theses

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