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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/117179

    Title: 台北市不動產價格泡沫之探討
    Authors: 曾懷萱
    Contributors: 地政系
    Keywords: 泡沫經濟;房價基本價值;貸款成數
    Bubble Economy;the fundamental value of the housing price;loan-to-value
    Date: 2016-03
    Issue Date: 2018-05-16 16:01:09 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 泡沫經濟生於投機行為而導致市場價格大起大落,可謂市場經濟失衡的一種現象,換言之,雖然
    The formation of Bubble Economy mostly resulting from the speculation on the market induces the price to
    go up and down acutely. In other words, though the high price does not mean the Bubble Economy, it's the
    phenomenon of Bubble Economy. Under the loose monetary policy, the government prints abundant money,
    and if the speed of the economic growth cannot catch up with the speed of money supply, it will cause funds
    to flow into the real asset market, leading the house price to bubble up continuously within a short-term
    period and presenting the irrational exuberance. Most of related papers in the past focused on the Bubble
    Economy in whole Taipei City instead of each administrative district in Taipei City. However, each
    administrative district has different conditions, such as traffic conditions and living facilities, from one
    another. Hence, the degree of housing bubbles in each administrative district is different. According to the
    statistics report of the Sinyi Housing Price Index, from 2013Q1 to 2014Q1, the housing price in Taipei City
    has raised about 4.9%, which indicated the fact that a lot of funds were poured into the real estate market, and
    led the housing price to rise rapidly in the short run. This situation makes people who really need a house
    cannot afford the housing price. Furthermore, related research has once pointed out that the average loan
    burden ratio was up to 35.36% and ratio of the housing price to income was 15.01 in Taipei City. This
    research uses 12 administrative districts, including Shilin Dist., Datong Dist., Daan Dist., Zhongshan Dist.,
    Zhongzheng Dist., Beitou Dist., Songshan Dist., Xinyi Dist., Nangang Dist., Wanhua Dist., Neihu Dist. and
    Wenshan Dist. in Taipei City, as research objects. Additionally, this research uses Weighted Average Cost of
    Capital to calculate the fundamental value of the housing price, and to explain the analysis of sensitivity
    through different loan-to-value ratios and different rental expense ratios. This research finds out the
    contributing factors based on the results of analyzing data, and provides suggestions for the policy-making
    direction in the future.
    Relation: 土地問題研究季刊, 15卷1期 , pp.83-105
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.29604/BGYY
    DOI: 10.29604/BGYY
    Appears in Collections:[地政學系] 期刊論文

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