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政大典藏 > College of Social Science > Department of Land Economics > Theses > Item 140.119/131765

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131765

Title:	農地面積管制政策轉變對農地價格之影響—台灣之實證研究 The impact of policy change of the lot size program on the agriculture land prices- the evidence from Taiwan
Authors:	俞錚 Yu, Zheng
Contributors:	白仁德李春長 Pai, Jen-Te Lee, Chung-Chang 俞錚 Yu, Zheng
Keywords:	農地面積管制農地政策轉變農地價格斷點迴歸設計差異斷點模型 lot size program farmland policy change farmland prices regression of discontinuity design difference-in-discontinuity
Date:	2020
Issue Date:	2020-09-02 12:41:39 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本研究採用實價登錄網站 2014 年 1 月到 2014 年 12 月的資料以及 2016 年 1 月到 2018 年 2 月農地實際成交資料並應用斷點迴歸設計和差異斷點迴歸探討農地面積管制和農地政策轉變對農地價格之影響。斷點迴歸設計之實證結果顯示，農地面積管制只會對非都市土地農地土地產生顯著正向影響，在農地政策轉變之前，農地面積管制會使得非都市土地農地價格增加 100.190 萬元，單價增加 434.340 元；在政策轉變之後，農地面積管制會增加農地價格總總價 76.849 萬元，單價增加 321.960 元。而農地面積管制對都市土地農地價格並未有顯著影響。此外，農地面積管制也會對農地銷售數量產生顯著正向影響。在農地政策轉變之前，農地面積管制會讓面積超過 0.25 公頃的土地銷售數量增加約 11 次，在農地政策轉變之後，則會增加約 8 次。差異斷點迴歸模型之實證結果顯示，農地政策轉變，即 2015 年修訂「農業用地興建農舍辦法」，對非都市土地農地產生顯著負向影響。在政策轉變之後，農地價格下降了 48.916 萬元，單價下降 394.879 元。實證結果表示「農業用地興建農舍辦法」法案的修正有達到降低農地價格，冷卻農地市場的預期效果。農地政策轉變並未對都市土地農地價格產生顯著影響。 This study uses the data from the real housing price website that spans from the period from January 2014 to December 2014 and January 2016 to February 2018 and the Regression of Discontinuity Design (RDD) as well as the Difference-in-Discontinuity (Diff-in-Disc) to investigate the impact of the lot size program and the farmland policy change to farmland prices. The empirical results indicate that the lot size program can only cause a significant impact on farmland prices of non-urban land areas. More specifically, before the policy change, the lot size program increases farmland prices about 1001.90 thousands NTD in total prices and 434.340 NTD in unit prices. After the policy change, the lot size program enhances farmland prices about 768.49 thousands NTD in total prices and 321.960 NTD in unit prices. On the contrary, this lot size program does not have a significant impact on urban land areas. In addition, this lot size program significantly increases sales volumes of farmlands. Before the farmland policy change, the lot size program would increase sale volumes about 11 times around the 0.25 hectare. Also, after the farmland policy change, the lot size program would increase sale volumes about 11 times around the 0.25 hectare. Furthermore, results of the Difference-in-Discontinuity show that this farmland policy change, the amendment of regulation of building farm houses on agricultural land, has a negative impact on the farmland prices of non-urban land areas, which reduces about 489.16 thousands NTD in total prices and 394.879 NTD in unit prices. Those results suggest that this amendment achieves the aim of reducing farmland prices and cooling the farmland market. In contrast, this farmland policy change has no significant influence on urban land area.
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Description:	碩士國立政治大學地政學系 107257035
Source URI:	http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107257035
Data Type:	thesis
DOI:	10.6814/NCCU202001375
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Land Economics] Theses

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