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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/132636


    Title: 第二期蔡英文政権の台米中関係の展望
    蔡英文第二任的台美中關係的展望
    The Prospects of Taiwan-US-China Relations in President Tsai Ing-Wen`s Second Term
    Authors: 顏建發
    顔建発
    Yan, Jiann-Fa
    阿部久美子
    Contributors: 問題と研究
    Keywords: 蔡英文 ; 中国 ; 台湾 ; アメリカ 
    蔡英文 ; 中國 ; 台灣 ; 美國
    Tsai Ing-wen ; China ; Taiwan ; United States
    Date: 2020-09
    Issue Date: 2020-11-17 10:55:14 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 蔡英文総統は2020年1月の総統選挙で再選を果たし、民進党は再び完全執政を手中に収めることとなった。蔡総統が2016年に初めて就任して以来、中国は台湾に圧力をかけ続けており、両岸関係は一段と緊張が高まっている。現在アメリカと中国、両大国の対立が白熱化するにつれ、台湾の「親米疎中」の選択は必然的であり、国民党でさえも「親米」路線を手放せない状況におかれている。海峡両岸の戦争リスクが増大すると同時に、国際社会における台湾擁護の声も高まっている。中国が今直面している深刻な内憂外患の状況を見るならば、悲観的な状況にあるのは台湾ではなく、中国であるといえる。
    蔡英文總統在2020年1月的大選中成功連任，民進黨也順利再度完全執政。中國自2016年蔡總統首度執政以來，便不斷對台施壓，使兩岸關係日趨緊張。目前，隨著美中兩強對立日益熾熱化，台灣「遠中親美」的選邊是必然；即便國民黨也不敢放棄「親美」路線。海峽雙方的戰爭風險固增大，國際保台的聲浪也同步高漲。以中國當前所面對嚴重的內憂外患觀之，該悲觀的應是中國而非台灣。
    President Tsai Ing-wen was successfully re-elected in the January 2020 general election, thus allowing the Democratic Progressive Party to realize full control of the Taiwanese government again. Since President Tsai took office for the first time in 2016, China has continuously put pressure on Taiwan and cross-strait relations have become progressively tenser. Due to increasingly fierce US-China confrontation, now Taiwan`s pro-US stance is inevitable; even the Kuomintang (KMT) dare not give up this policy. Although the risk of armed conflict between China and Taiwan has increased, voices of international support for Taiwan have also risen synchronously. Considering the severity of China`s current internal and external dilemmas, it is China, instead of Taiwan, that should be pessimistic toward the future.
    Relation: 問題と研究, 49(3), 37-72
    Data Type: article
    DOI link: https://doi.org/10.30391/ISJ.202009_49(3).0002
    DOI: 10.30391/ISJ.202009_49(3).0002
    Appears in Collections:[Mondai to Kenkyu] Journal Articles

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