English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 109948/140897 (78%)
Visitors : 46096517      Online Users : 904
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/132730

    Title: Please Be My Friend: The Taiwanese Public`s Ally Preferences between the United States and China
    Authors: 林民偉
    Lin, Alex Min-wei
    Wu, Chung-li
    Contributors: 選舉研究
    Keywords: US-China relations ; ambivalence theory ; ally selection ; public opinion 
    美中關係 ; 雙歧理論 ; 結盟選擇 ; 民意調查
    Date: 2019-11
    Issue Date: 2020-11-19 11:44:38 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: This study takes advantage of Taiwan public opinion data to examine citizens` views on whether their country should ally with the United States or China. It tests two hypotheses on how citizens arrive at their choice of an ally: ambivalence toward both the US and China, and an evaluation of which of the two countries is the more powerful. The results reveal that the proportion of the Taiwanese public that would pick China as an ally (41.7%) is almost the same as the proportion that would opt for the US (44.5%). Pan-Blue supporters and those favoring unification with China have a higher probability of choosing China, while Taiwan independence supporters and those identifying as Taiwanese only are less likely to choose China as an ally for Taiwan. Logistic regression analyses show that more ambivalent citizens are more likely to choose China, and that judgement of which country is most powerful is a conditional predictor of choice of ally.
    本文藉由分析我國民意調查資料,旨在檢視臺灣民眾對於美國與中國兩者之間,結盟國家的選擇偏好。本文驗證一般民眾在選擇國家結盟對象的兩個研究假設:首先為對於美國與中國認知的「雙歧」(ambivalence);態度,其次為評估兩個國家何者更具影響力。研究結果顯示,臺灣民眾選擇中國作為盟友的比例(41.7%),與支持美國作為盟友的比例(44.5%);頗為接近。依據實證資料,泛藍支持者與傾向中國統一者較偏好選擇與中國進行結盟,與此同時,認同自己為臺灣人與支持臺灣獨立者較不偏好選擇中國為結盟對象。本文採取「勝算對數模型分析」(logistic regression analyses),統計數據顯示,保持雙歧態度的民眾較傾向選擇中國作為結盟對象;相關數據證實,另一項研究假設亦具有相當解釋力,亦即一般民眾判斷哪個國家更具影響力的認知,是左右他們選擇結盟對象與否的重要考量。
    Relation: 選舉研究, 26(2), 87-112
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.6612/tjes.201911_26(2).0004 
    DOI: 10.6612/tjes.201911_26(2).0004 
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    8.pdf1502KbAdobe PDF2193View/Open

    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback