政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/135798
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 97106/127750 (76%)
造访人次 : 33263379      在线人数 : 355
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧:
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号",以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻,建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段,可获得较完整数据
  • 进阶搜寻


    请使用永久网址来引用或连结此文件: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/135798


    题名: Forecasting Housing Markets from Number of Visits to Actual Price Registration System
    作者: 林左裕
    Lin, Tsoyu Calvin
    Hsu, Shih-Hsun
    贡献者: 地政系
    关键词: Actual price registration system;Hit rate;Search behavior;Big data;Vector auto-regression with exogenous variables
    日期: 2020-01
    上传时间: 2021-06-16 14:51:52 (UTC+8)
    摘要: Taiwan launched the actual price registration system for real estate transactions in 2012. Real estate–related information, for e.g., prices, area and location, can be obtained through a search on this platform. Most market participants, including potential buyers and sellers, obtain property information before making their transaction decision. If the search behavior can be transferred into supply or demand action, then the number of visits to a website can be used as a leading indicator of price changes or transaction volume. This study has collected the number of visits to the actual price registration system in New Taipei City in Taiwan and other macro-economic variables from 2014 to 2019 and applied a model with vector auto-regression with exogenous variables (VARX) for empirical analysis. We find two important results in our analysis: 1. the transaction volume significantly leads house prices and the number of visits to this system in most districts, and 2. the number of visits leads transaction volume only in the district with a very good transportation system and infrastructures, and leads the house prices only in districts that have affordable house prices or deemed to be a “good value”. This is the first empirical study done after Taiwan launched the actual price registration system. Governments in other countries can launch similar systems and market participants can apply the findings of this study to their future policy and investment decision making process.
    關聯: International Real Estate Review, 23:4, 1131-1162
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[地政學系] 期刊論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    83.pdf1361KbAdobe PDF19检视/开启


    在政大典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - 回馈