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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/146477


    Title: 電廠營運與能源安全:以核電建廠談判期程分析
    The Power Plant Operation and Energy Security: Analysis of Construction Negotiation of Nuclear Power Plants
    Authors: 林聖傑
    Lin, Sheng-Jie
    Contributors: 王信實
    李文傑

    Wang, Shinn-Shyr
    Lee, Wen-Chieh

    林聖傑
    Lin, Sheng-Jie
    Keywords: 氣候變遷
    能源轉型
    核能發電
    政策衝突成本
    Climate Change
    Energy Transformation
    Nuclear Power
    Policy Conflict Costs
    Date: 2023
    Issue Date: 2023-08-02 13:42:41 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 近年來大氣中的溫室氣體濃度不斷增加,使得全球氣溫上升造成負面影響的氣候變遷,聯合國首先在1992年通過「聯合國氣候變遷綱要公約」,至今也已通過「京都議定書」、「巴黎協定」,以及「格拉斯哥氣候協議」,而各國也因應全球暖化,制定出相關目標與法規。美國環境保護署在1994年針對所有發電廠做出應在2030年前降低30%的碳排放量之規範,所以美國能源資訊署積極轉型美國的能源結構。歐盟也在提出應將可再生能源發電比例上升至80%,並將核能與天然氣視為過渡性的綠能。而台灣也積極的進行能源結構轉型,其以「展綠」、「增氣」、「減煤」,以及「非核」為目標。然而,在2017年8月15日台灣發生全國大停電的事件,可以顯示能源轉型過程中出現了問題。
    本研究以台灣核能作為研究對象,欲討論發展核能發電是否得改善能源安全問題。而本研究得出以下結論:當化石燃料的成本與可再生能源發電機組的裝設成本很高時,發展核能發電對於台灣經濟社會是有益的,且若以非核為目標下的政策衝突成本非常大。以比較靜態分析的結果而言,並不是在其他發電技術的建造、維運成本很大時,發展核能發電才是可行的。最後,本研究對於政策的建議為,在台灣能源轉型的過程中應將核能發電作為過渡性的能源,且在進行能源轉型的過程中也應與人民以及相關專家充分的討論,才能降低政策衝突成本。
    The current study discussed plausible way of negotiation for the construction of nuclear power plant. The nuclear power plant due to its formidable electricity generation source of power has been deemed as nimby facility. Utilizing a sequentially determined game structure, the global equilibrium of successful construction can be achieved. It is said that the coalition proof condition is key to guaranteed to the Pareto equilibrium. Besides, several counterfactual setups have been checked to sustain the provided results here in this study.
    Reference: 中技社(2013),「核四關鍵議題報告」。中技社專題報告102年02月。

    經濟部能源局(2014),「電從哪裡來 核四封存後 你不可不知的事」。經濟部能源局
    104年7月初版。

    Aghion, P., Antràs, P., & Helpman, E. (2007). Negotiating free trade. Journal of International
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    Chang, C. C., & Wang, C. M. (2014). Energy source options for the generation of electrical power
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    Chen, F. F., Chou, S. C., & Lu, T. K. (2013). Scenario analysis of the new energy policy for
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    Chuang, M. T., Chang, S. Y., Hsiao, T. C., Lu, Y. R., & Yang, T. Y. (2019). Analyzing major
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    Dai, J., Li, S., Bi, J., & Ma, Z. (2019). The health risk-benefit feasibility of nuclear power
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    Davis, L. W. (2012). Prospects for nuclear power. Journal of Economic perspectives, 26(1), 49-
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    Metcalf, G. E., & Stock, J. H. (2020). The macroeconomic impact of Europe’s carbon taxes
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    Muratori, M., Ledna, C., McJeon, H., Kyle, P., Patel, P., Kim, S. H., ... & Edmonds, J. (2017).
    Cost of power or power of cost: A US modeling perspective. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 77, 861-874.

    Nam, H., Konishi, S., & Nam, K. W. (2021). Comparative analysis of decision making regarding
    nuclear policy after the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant Accident: Case study in Germany and Japan. Technology in Society, 67, 101735.

    Shih, Y. H., Shi, N. X., Tseng, C. H., Pan, S. Y., & Chiang, P. C. (2016). Socioeconomic costs of
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    Sovacool, B. K. (2013). An international assessment of energy security performance. Ecological
    Economics, 88, 148-158.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    110258024
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110258024
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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