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| Title: | 捷運開通對於沿線住宅租金之影響-以新北環狀線為例
The Impact of Metro Opening on Residential Rental Prices Along the Line - A Case Study of New Taipei Circular Line |
| Authors: | 廖倉淯
Liao, Tsang-Yu |
| Contributors: | 江穎慧
Chiang, Ying-Hui
廖倉淯
Liao, Tsang-Yu |
| Keywords: | 租金
捷運站
特徵價格模型
空間遲延模型
差異中之差異法
rent
subway station
hedonic price model
spatial lag model
difference-in-differences method |
| Date: | 2023 |
| Issue Date: | 2023-09-01 15:15:30 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 隨著大眾捷運系統的發展，交通便利性收斂了空間與時間的距離，使得通勤的時間更為縮短，過去研究多認為其對於住宅的租金產生外溢的效果。捷運新北環狀線為新北市首條全線皆位於新北市境內之捷運線，更具研究捷運對於新北市租屋市場之影響有所代表性。且承租房屋族群多為學生、上班族為主，更係高度仰賴通勤便利性，因此本研究以環狀線通車後對於周邊住宅租金的影響進行研究，以探討影響捷運沿線之周圍租金重要因素為何，並且探討捷運通車後對於受捷運影響範圍租金影響程度。
本研究利用特徵價格模型以及空間遲延模型分析房屋租賃平台出租資訊，分別就整層住家以及套房雅房兩物件進行影響因素探討，發現將房屋租金呈現空間相依現象，且以空間遲延模型之配適度優於特徵價格模型。且電梯大樓、床、洗衣機、可炊煮為影響整層住家類型之重要特徵；洗衣機、可炊煮為影響套房雅房之重要特徵；鄰里環境變數對於套房雅房之影響程度大於整層住家。
以差異中之差異法(Difference-in-Differences)於考量空間相依情形下，分別就不同物件類型以捷運開通前後進行樣本分析，並以500公尺為影響範圍分別進行差異中之差異分析。發現捷運通車前對於整層住家租金呈現負向影響，通車後六個月對於套房雅房物件呈現負向影響。推測於捷運通車前，位於捷運站周邊之民眾可能仍選擇公車、自駕等更便捷之交通方式進行通勤，且捷運沿線多經過工業區，承租者可能以鄰近工作地點為考量，而非捷運，故對於環狀線捷運提升交通效益並無期待效應，使得周圍租金並無溢價現象；而通車後六個月推測係由於新冠疫情居家隔離、居家辦公等因素影響，致成交量下降，捷運站對於周圍房租溢價效果產生負向影響。
With the development of the mass rapid transit system, the convenience of transportation has reduced the spatial and temporal distances, making commuting time shorter. Previous studies have often recognized its spillover effect on residential rents. The New Taipei Circular Line is the first fully within the jurisdiction of New Taipei City. It represents a significant impact on the rental housing market in New Taipei City. Renters in the area are mainly students and office workers who heavily rely on the convenience of commuting. Therefore, this study focuses on the impact of the opening of the Circular Line on surrounding residential rents, aiming to explore the key factors affecting the rental prices along the subway line.
Using the hedonic price model and spatial lag model, this study analyzes rental information from housing rental platforms, specifically focusing on whole houses and suites/rooms as separate objects of analysis. The study finds that housing rents exhibit spatial dependence, and the spatial lag model fits better than the hedonic price model. Elevator buildings, beds, washing machines, and cooking facilities are identified as important features influencing the rental prices of whole houses. For suites/rooms, washing machines and cooking facilities are significant features, and the impact of neighborhood environmental variables is greater for suites/rooms compared to whole houses.
Using the Difference-in-Differences (DID) method, accounting for spatial dependence, the study conducts a sample analysis for different types of properties before and after the MRT line`s opening (one month before and six months after). The analysis focuses on a radius of 500 meters from the MRT stations to measure the impact range. The results show a negative impact on entire residential unit rentals before the MRT`s opening and a negative impact on suite or room rentals six months after the opening. The negative impact before the MRT`s opening may be attributed to the fact that people living near MRT stations might still prefer more convenient transportation modes such as buses or private vehicles for commuting. Additionally, the MRT line passes through industrial areas, and tenants might prioritize proximity to their workplace rather than the MRT station. Hence, the circular metro line`s enhancement of transportation benefits did not result in rent premiums in the surrounding areas. As for the negative impact six months after the opening, it is speculated to be influenced by factors such as home quarantine and remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a decrease in rental transactions and negatively affecting the rent |
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| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系
110257017 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110257017 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [地政學系] 學位論文
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