English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 109951/140892 (78%)
Visitors : 46202103      Online Users : 686
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/148401


    Title: 外在威脅與選舉競爭:2020年總統選舉的分析
    Authors: 陳陸輝
    Chen, Lu-Huei
    Contributors: 選研中心
    Keywords: 外在威脅;一國兩制;情緒;憂慮;選舉
    anxiety;elections;emotions;external threat;one country-two systems
    Date: 2023-12
    Issue Date: 2023-11-30 15:08:15 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究從民眾認知外在威脅的觀點,分析其在2020年的總統選舉中,如何影響其投票行為。在2019年的年初,中國國家主席習近平提出「一國兩制,台灣方案」之後,蔡英文總統給予強力的回應,伴隨同年六月間香港升高的「反送中運動」,讓中華民國會不會因為中國大陸的威脅而消失的「亡國感」發酵,成為影響2020年選舉的重要關鍵。
    本研究運用在2020年的選舉前後執行的定群追蹤調查,分析民眾是否具有「亡國感」的感受。我們發現,擔心因為被中國大陸統一而讓中華民國消失的民眾比較較高,超過五成一。我們進一步檢視,擔心中華民國被中國大陸統一而消失者,以年輕民眾、教育程度較高者以及傾向獨立者的比例較多。民眾具有「亡國感」者,更傾向在2020選舉中支持蔡英文總統。因此,民眾感受到的外在威脅,極有可能在選舉中發酵,進一步影響民眾的投票抉擇。我們認為:透過對民眾對外在威脅的感受之分析,讓我們更能理解選民的投票決定。
    From the perspective of possible external threat, this study analyzes how voters’ perceptions of external threat might affect their vote choice in the 2020 Presidential election in Taiwan. After Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed the ‘one country, two systems’ Taiwan formula” in January of 2019, President Tsai Ing-wen gave a strong response. Along with the “Anti-Extradition Movement” in Hong Kong in June of the same year, the “sense of national subjugation (wangguo gan)” fermented by the possible threat from the mainland China has become an important key to influence the 2020 election.
    This study uses a panel study conducted before and after the 2020 election to analyze whether people have a “sense of national subjugation.” We found that the proportion of people who are worried about the disappearance of the Republic of China due to the unification of mainland China is relatively high, exceeding 51%. We further examine, those who worried about the disappearance of the Republic of China by the reunification of mainland China are young people, those who with higher education levels and preferring to support Taiwan independent. People with wangguo gan are more inclined to support President Tsai Ing-wen in the 2020 election. We believe that through the analysis of people's perception of external threat, we will have better understanding of how voters make up their vote choices.
    Relation: 問題與研究, Vol.62, No.4
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.30390/ISC.202312_62(4).0003
    DOI: 10.30390/ISC.202312_62(4).0003
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究中心] 期刊論文
    [問題與研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    62-4-3.pdf1704KbAdobe PDF95View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback