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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/148401

    Title: 外在威脅與選舉競爭:2020年總統選舉的分析
    Authors: 陳陸輝
    Chen, Lu-Huei
    Contributors: 選研中心
    Keywords: 外在威脅;一國兩制;情緒;憂慮;選舉
    anxiety;elections;emotions;external threat;one country-two systems
    Date: 2023-12
    Issue Date: 2023-11-30 15:08:15 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究從民眾認知外在威脅的觀點,分析其在2020年的總統選舉中,如何影響其投票行為。在2019年的年初,中國國家主席習近平提出「一國兩制,台灣方案」之後,蔡英文總統給予強力的回應,伴隨同年六月間香港升高的「反送中運動」,讓中華民國會不會因為中國大陸的威脅而消失的「亡國感」發酵,成為影響2020年選舉的重要關鍵。
    From the perspective of possible external threat, this study analyzes how voters’ perceptions of external threat might affect their vote choice in the 2020 Presidential election in Taiwan. After Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed the ‘one country, two systems’ Taiwan formula” in January of 2019, President Tsai Ing-wen gave a strong response. Along with the “Anti-Extradition Movement” in Hong Kong in June of the same year, the “sense of national subjugation (wangguo gan)” fermented by the possible threat from the mainland China has become an important key to influence the 2020 election.
    This study uses a panel study conducted before and after the 2020 election to analyze whether people have a “sense of national subjugation.” We found that the proportion of people who are worried about the disappearance of the Republic of China due to the unification of mainland China is relatively high, exceeding 51%. We further examine, those who worried about the disappearance of the Republic of China by the reunification of mainland China are young people, those who with higher education levels and preferring to support Taiwan independent. People with wangguo gan are more inclined to support President Tsai Ing-wen in the 2020 election. We believe that through the analysis of people's perception of external threat, we will have better understanding of how voters make up their vote choices.
    Relation: 問題與研究, Vol.62, No.4
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.30390/ISC.202312_62(4).0003
    DOI: 10.30390/ISC.202312_62(4).0003
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究中心] 期刊論文
    [問題與研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

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