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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/152182


    Title: 新臺灣選民
    The New Taiwan Voter
    Authors: 陳陸輝;俞振華
    Contributors: 選研中心
    Keywords: 世代;議題偏好;政治情緒;人格
    generation;issue preference;political emotions;personality
    Date: 2022-01
    Issue Date: 2024-07-01 15:30:32 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究將檢視臺灣選民的持續與變遷。我們認為新/年輕選民在政黨認同較不具備特定傾向，因此，臺灣在2014年地方選舉之後，藍綠政黨的政治勢力更為多變。我們將在2020年總統大選前後進行定群追蹤電話訪問以檢驗本研究提出的諸多假設。 本研究將在第一年選前執行大規模的電話訪問，分析選民的人格、政治情緒以及議題偏好，對其投票行為的影響。本研究也將執行選後的定群追蹤研究，檢視上述三項因素的穩定度。在第二年將採用深度訪談，深入瞭解哪些因素在型塑臺灣選民的政治思維，我們認為45歲以下的年輕選民，因為思想較開放且較不具備黨性，因此將形成臺灣的搖擺選民而決定選舉結果。
    In this study, we intend to examine change and continuity of the electorate in Taiwan. We argue that new/young voters tend to be partisan independents so the political landscapes become more volatile after 2014 local elections. We will conduct pre- and post-election panel studies in the 2020 presidential elections to examine and test our hypotheses. In this study, we will conduct large scale pre-election telephone surveys in the first year to see how personality, political emotions, and issue preferences might affect voters’ choices. We also conduct post-election panel studies to see stability of voters’ personality, political emotions, and their issue preferences. During the second year of this study, we will conduct in-depth interview to examine what factors shape voters’ political thinking. And we argue that voters under age 45 tend to be open-minded and less partisan and they are more likely to be swing voters to determine the election outcomes.
    Relation: 科技部, MOST108-2410-H004-154-SS2, 108.08-110.07
    Data Type: report
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究中心] 國科會研究計畫

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