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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/158082


    題名: 建構兩岸資訊通信產業的生產彈性比較表：發展可信及穩固的生產彈性衡量以及最適產能累積決策
    Recovering Ict Production Flexibility: Measurement of Production Flexibility and Production Capacity Built-Up
    作者: 李文傑;王信實
    貢獻者: 經濟系
    關鍵詞: 可行技術抽樣數;生產彈性;電子代工;需求不確定;擬真分析;模型校正;紅色供應鏈
    Number of Technique Draws;production flexibility;Information and Communication Technology (ICT);demand uncertainty;counterfactual analysis;Red Supply Chain
    日期: 2020-05
    上傳時間: 2025-07-16 11:13:43 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 近期整合成功的夏普及富士康併購案反映了生產彈性改善對於企業獲利的指標重要性。縱然生產彈性已廣被資訊與通信科技 (資通產業)認可為企業獲利的關鍵要素，但是經濟學研究及管理實務並無一嚴謹可信賴指標以供高階管理者參作決策指標。因此，本兩年期計畫將以發展生產彈性的衡量指標為第一年期子計畫的主要研究目標，第一年研究期間將使用一理論架構，以工業生產公司的可行技術抽樣數代表公司的生產彈性，並建立公司的可行技術抽樣數以及公司的替代彈性參數的關係。第二年子計畫將進一步討論企業透過產能累積所能獲致的各項生產優勢，其中包括超額產能累積所能獲致的較低的各期生產成本。更進一步，本子計畫提供的理論創新為可以討論企業產能投資反轉的影響力，並實際計算出產能反轉力在兩岸資通產業獲利表現上的重要性。本兩年期計畫的理論架構將以期望購置的公司層級資料庫做實際運算並以參數刻畫構建出一實際可運用的決策參考依據。除此之外，本兩年期計畫也將藉由擬真分析 （counterfactual analysis）計算廠商生產彈性的不同改善程度是如何影響兩岸資通產業在面對不確定市場需求變動或外在競爭者加入時的存活率與生產計劃的調整，並以之做為我國資通產業面對紅色供應鏈挑戰時的各項產業政策分析及建議。
    High production flexibility has long claimed to be key successful factors for firm’s high profitability status that has been reflected in the recent successful merger between Foxconn and Sharp. However, no reliable or solid measurement on production flexibility index exist for meaningful investigation on the causal relationship between production flexibility and firm’s performance of producing firms across different manufacturing sectors. Thus, this two-year research project has first to develop the measurement on production flexibility presented as firms’ number of technique draws in the first-year sub-project. The project then plans further to decompose the production flexibility into crucial components for firms’ capacity built-up. Firms’ investment reversibility is then applied and computed to reflect the true costs of firms’ flexible production arrangement between stages before and after demand realization in a business of volatile demand situation. The contribution of the current research proposal is to fully endogenize the original factors influencing firm’s production flexibility and address the measurement that fully reflect manufacturing firms’ production flexibility. Besides, constructing and then utilizingan anticipated procured firm-level dataset itemizing on operation details can facilitate the calibration of crucial model parameters as well as firms’ key performance properly. This enables us to gain better insight toward understanding specifically the sustainability of Taiwanese Information and Communication Technology (ICT) business in face of the “Red Supply Chain”. Such an endeavor also permits counterfactual policy experiments using a structural model consistent with the empirically observed industry framework.
    關聯: 科技部,, MOST106-2410-H004-017-MY2, 106.08-108.07
    資料類型: report
    顯示於類別:[經濟學系] 國科會研究計畫

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