English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 110180/141113 (78%)
Visitors : 46569139      Online Users : 523
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/22266


    Title: 開放經濟體系勞工退休制度之總體經濟計量分析
    Authors: 何金巡;蕭麗卿;周麗芳;林建甫
    Keywords: 總資源供需估測模型;勞工個人退休金帳戶制;WTO;財政缺口
    Aggregated supply and demand econometric model;Individual retirement account;WTO;Fiscal deficit
    Date: 2004-03
    Issue Date: 2009-01-06 15:18:54 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文以開放體系台灣總體經濟計量模型分析勞工退休不同提撥制度對台灣總體經濟之效果，俾供政府研擬相關政策參考。本研究發現，台灣若自2002年開始實施勞工退休金個人帳戶制，在四種不同設定(提撥率有甲、乙兩案，基金餘額利用效率分高低兩種、勞工退休金之提撥由勞、資雙協議）下，對台灣總體經濟之衝擊，長、短期效果不盡相同。整體言之，四種不同設定之勞工退休金個人帳戶制對後期實質產出多有不等之正面效果。由於勞工退休金部份由資方負擔，任何程度的經營成本增加都不利民間投資，因此，在支出面及生產面都受到負面衝擊。在勞工個人帳戶制實施初期，勞工退休領回之年金不多，對民間消費增加的效果遠不及廠商投資之縮減效果。因此，短期退休基金對總體經濟正面效果無法抵銷民間消費及廠商投資之縮減效果，整體國內生產呈現負面效果，長期則反之。
    The paper analyzes the effects of various labor retirement pension fund systems on Taiwan’s overall economy. Four different designs are proposed. The results show different impacts in the short run and long run. In general, the four designs generate negative effects on real output in the early stage, but positive ones in the later period. Among them, the result of B-8 has the biggest influence. Because the employers have to bear a certain degree of the retirement pensions, any change will cause production costs to increase, and consequently depress their investment. Therefore, negative effects will show on both investment and production. On the other hand, laborers can only receive a small portion of their pensions in the early stage. As a result, in the short run, the positive effect from the retirement pensions cannot offset the negative one from the contraction in the private sector. However, we can see the reverse is true in the long run.
    Relation: 臺灣經濟預測與政策, 34(2), 73-128
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[財政學系] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    73-128-a.pdf1112KbAdobe PDF2932View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback