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政大機構典藏 > 社會科學學院 > 經濟學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/23261

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/23261

Title:	Volatility Trade-offs in Exchange Rate Target Zones
Authors:	Ching-chong Lai;方中柔;Juin-jen Chang Fang,Chung-rou;Lai,Ching-chong;Chang,Juin-jen
Keywords:	Exchange rate target zones;Stochastic processes;Volatility trade-offs;Imperfect capital mobility
Date:	2006-01
Issue Date:	2009-01-09 12:15:55 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	The volatility trade-offs (i.e. the negative relationships between exchange rate variability and the interest rate differential) exhibited in the Krugman [Krugman, P. (1991). Target zones and exchange rate dynamics. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 669–682.] model depend on the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity (UIP). However, the bands for several economies in Latin America and Eastern Europe are substantially different from those within the European Monetary System (EMS), in that their parity relationship deviates from UIP and volatility trade-offs do not exist. This paper develops a graphical exposition and uses it to show that the degree of capital mobility may serve as a plausible vehicle to explain the empirical evidence found in Krugman`s regime of exchange rate target zones. Based on a Fleming-type stochastic macro model, we find that when capital mobility is relatively low, exchange rate variability exhibits a positive relationship with the interest rate differential. This result can be regarded as a possible way of resolving the conflicting outcomes between Krugman`s prediction and existing empirical observations.
Relation:	International Review of Economics and Finance,17(3),366-379
Data Type:	article
DOI 連結:	http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2006.10.004
DOI:	10.1016/j.iref.2006.10.004
Appears in Collections:	[經濟學系] 期刊論文

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