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    题名: 中共「十七大」政治菁英甄補與地方治理策略
    其它题名: Political Recruitment and Local Governance in the 17th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party
    作者: 陳德昇;陳陸輝
    Chen,Te-sheng;Chen,Lu-huei
    关键词: 「十七大」;菁英甄補;共青團派;政治繼承;地方治理;17th Party Congress;elite recruitment;“Communist Youth League”;faction;political heritage;local governance
    日期: 2007-12
    上传时间: 2009-01-16 11:49:53 (UTC+8)
    摘要: The Chinese Communist Party’s 17th Congress was held during October 2007, this Congress played important roles on defining political development and major policy issues in the next 5 years. In this paper, we will examine conditions and requirements for cadres to be promoted to power circle, and to evaluate whether cadres with affiliation to Communist Youth League (CYL) might have better chances to get promoted. In addition, elites enter CCP’s Politburo in the 17th Party Congress will succeed President Hu Jintao as leaders in the 18th Congress. Conduct our analysis during April 2007, we employed members and alternate members of central committees of the 16th Party Congress as analyticunits to explore factors such as age, education, overseas education, faction, governing performance, experience in central government and/or local government, governing experience in important provinces or metropolitan areas, along with symbolic indicators such as ethnic backgrounds, gender, and social science training for predicting the probability of being recruited to the CCP central committee. Several trends and characteristics can be identified in the elite recruitment and local governance in the 17th Party Congress. First, new leaders will be equipped with local governing experience, capability, and interest, so they will have a broader view on their policies. Second, leaders in the central government still control local personnel and marginalize their challengers. Third, market reforms might weaken the dominant roles of the central government, but the central government might still regain its control through resources allocation. Fourth, in order to maintain stable social order, the central government provides more resource on welfare expenditure.
    關聯: 中國大陸研究, 50(4), 57-85
    数据类型: article
    显示于类别:[國際關係研究中心] 期刊論文

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