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    政大機構典藏 > 商學院 > 財務管理學系 > 學位論文 >  Item 140.119/31032


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    題名: 實質消費下均衡資本資產評價
    Equilibrium Asset Pricing Based on the “Real” Consumption
    作者: 張俊評
    Chang, Jun-ping
    貢獻者: 徐燕山
    Hsu, Yen-shan
    張俊評
    Chang, Jun-ping
    關鍵詞: 均衡資產評價
    實質消費
    共同基金定理
    抗通膨資產
    Equilibrium Asset Pricing
    Real Consumption
    Mutual Fund Theroem
    The Inflation-Indexed Bond
    日期: 2007
    上傳時間: 2009-09-14 09:06:02 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文以完全規避通膨風險債券資產為評價基礎，推導出三因子實質消費資本資產訂價模型與s+4共同基金定理。三因子分別為實質消費成長因子、消費習慣因子以及情緒性預期偏差因子。情緒性三因子實證部份，橫斷面報酬模型平均解釋力約有61.79%，此實證結果顯示傳統消費資本資產訂價模型中訂價績效表現不佳，是忽略部份重要因素所致。
    s+4共同基金為完全規避通膨風險債券資產、投機性巿場投資組合、s個規避實質狀態變數不利於投資機會集合變動之巿場投資組合、規避情緒性預期偏差風險的共同基金以及維持未來整體生活消費型態的共同基金。這之中完全規避通膨風險債券資產可減少巿場共同基金數目和降低交易成本之實質效果。
    This thesis derives an inter-temporal asset pricing model in a real-term, continuous-time model with uncertain consumption-goods prices and uncertain investment opportunity. When the inflation-indexed securities are available, a three-factor asset pricing model is derived in terms of real consumption growth, consumption-habit variation, and inflation rate change (or sentimental inflation expectation). Empirical results suggest that the derived asset pricing model in real framework can explain above a 60% of the variation in asset returns.
    Under the real framework, we demonstrate that s+4 fund separation applies. These funds may be chosen to be: (1) the instantaneously inflation-indexed bond, (2) the market portfolio, (3) the sentimental inflation-related asset, (4) the consumption habit-related asset, and (5) the s portfolios having the high correlations, respectively, with the s state variables.
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