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https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35125
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Title: | 台灣進口物價匯率轉嫁之研究 |
Authors: | 柯中逵 |
Contributors: | 陳坤銘 饒秀華 柯中逵 |
Keywords: | 進口物價 匯率轉嫁 不對稱性 產業細分 |
Date: | 2006 |
Issue Date: | 2009-09-18 14:13:20 (UTC+8) |
Abstract: | 在匯率轉嫁的議題上,台灣實證大都利用加總資料(aggregated data)來做分析與研究。國外文獻發現,將產業細分後加以研究的結果,與使用加總資料之結果似乎有些出入。故本文將利用進口之鋼鐵、汽車、成衣、原油等產業細分資料,並採用共整合分析來尋找長期轉嫁關係。其結果發現:1.利用季資料頻率來做分析較為適合。2.長期匯率為不完全轉嫁,且轉嫁程度並不高。3.在不對稱轉嫁的研究結果顯示,長期不對稱轉嫁之現象並不明顯,惟鋼鐵產業據統計顯著性,表示其有不對稱性,但不對稱性之差異並不大。 In the past, most people used aggregated data to analyze Taiwan exchange rate pass-through. In this paper, we analyze Taiwan exchange rate pass-through into import price by subdividing industry data and use cointegrating test to estimate their relation in long run. We find out some difference from past documents of empirical analyses of Taiwan. First, using seasonal data is more suitable than using monthly data to analyze this issue. Second, exchange rate pass-through is uncompleted in the long run. And the magnitude of pass-through is far away from 1(completed pass-through). Third, in the long run, there is no asymmetry of exchange rate pass-through. |
Reference: | Baldwin, Richard, 1988,“Some Empirical Evidence of Hysteresis in Aggregate U.S. Import Prices.” NBER Working Paper 2483, January. Parsley, David C., 2003, “Exchange Rate Pass-Through in a Small Open Economy: Panel Evidence from Hong Kong.” International Journal of Finance and Economics, 8(2), 199-108. Dornbush, R., (1987) , “Exchange Rates and Prices.” American Economic Review, (77), 93-106. Gil-Pareja, Salvador, 2000,“Exchange Rates and European Countries’ Export Prices: An Empirical Test for Asymmetries in Pricing to Market Behavior.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 136(1), 1-23. Goldberg, Pinelopi K., 1995,“Product Differentiation and Oligopoly in international Markets: The Case Of the U.S. Automobile Industry.” Econometrica, 63(4), 891-951. Goldberg, Pinelopi K. and Michael Knetter, 1997,“Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What Have We Learned?” Journal of Economic Literature, 35(3) 1243-72 Hooper, P. and C.L.Mann, 1989,“Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the 1980s: The Case of U.S Imports of Manufactures.” Brookings Papers on Economic Actinity,1,297-337. Knetter, Michael M., 1994,“Is Export Price Adjustment Asymmetric? Evaluating the Market Share and Marketing Bottlenecks.” Journal of International Money and Finance, 13(1), 55-70. Kreinin, Mordechai E.,“The Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on the Prices and Volume of Foreign Trade.” International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, July 1977, 24(2), 297-329. Mann, Catherine L., 1986,“Prices , Profit Margins , and Exchange Rates.” Federal Reserve Bulletin , 72(6), 366-379. Marston, Richard C., 1990,“Pricing to Market in Japanese Manufacturing.” Journal of International Economics , 29(3-4), 217-236. Menon J., 1995,“Exchange Rates and Import Prices for a small open economy.” Applied Economics,27,297-301. Pollard Patricia S. and Cletus C. Coughlin, 2004, “Size Matters: Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through at the Industry Level.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Working paper, July. Pollard Patricia S. and Cletus C. Coughlin, 2005,“Pass-Through Estimates and the Choice of an Exchange Rate Index.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Teo, Wing Leong, 2006,“An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of The Taiwanese Economy. ” Pacific Economics Review, forthcoming. Webber, Anthony, 2000,“Newton’s Gravity Law and Import Prices in Asia Pacific.” Japan and the World Economy, 12(1), 71-87. Wilamoski, P. (1994) , “Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Testing for Structure Change and Its Causes,” International Trade Journal, (8), 321-346. 吳中書、許良華, 1996,〈匯率波動對台灣九大產業出口價格之影響〉,《台灣經濟學會論文集》,281-310。 郭炳伸、黃恩恩、藍青玉,2006,〈菜單成本與不對稱匯率轉嫁〉,台灣經濟學會,年會學術研討論文。 劉宗欣、張銘仁,2000,〈進口物價的匯率轉嫁與不對稱性:台灣的實證研究〉,《經濟論文》,28,369-396。 |
Description: | 碩士 國立政治大學 國際經營與貿易研究所 94351021 95 |
Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094351021 |
Data Type: | thesis |
Appears in Collections: | [國際經營與貿易學系 ] 學位論文
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