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    Title: 臺灣氣候變遷與經濟成長之關係
    Climate change and economic development in Taiwan
    Authors: 楊雅婷
    Yang, Ya Ting
    Contributors: 羅光達
    Lo, Kuang Ta
    楊雅婷
    Yang, Ya Ting
    Keywords: 氣候變遷
    經濟成長
    台灣
    Date: 2011
    Issue Date: 2012-10-30 11:32:37 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 近來氣候異常與極端氣候災害發生的頻率不斷上升,為了解氣候變遷對我國經濟成長是否有影響,本文採用臺灣1961年至2010年共50年的氣溫、雨量等氣候資料,以及淨固定資產形成、儲蓄率和人口為解釋變數,來探討同時期的全國和農業部門經濟成長是否受到氣候變遷的影響。
    實證結果顯示,臺灣近50年來的年平均氣溫有上升情形,且其變異程度和全距皆減少,顯示氣溫往高溫集中,確實存在暖化現象。而年平均降雨量、其變異程度以及全距,都有上升傾向,表現出臺灣降雨量有增加趨勢,且降雨的變動幅度也上升,代表氣候波動幅度增大。依ARMAX模型檢測得知,氣候因子並不顯著影響全國的經濟成長和農業部門的經濟成長,而是經濟解釋變數較顯著,故應以經濟因子來解釋經濟成長較為恰當。
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    二、中文文獻
    汪中和(2006),「氣候暖化對臺灣水文環境的衝擊」,《東苑理工學院學報》,第13卷,第4期,頁74-79。
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    林進生與初國華(2010),「臺灣經濟發展與政府角色:一九九0年代以前之論述」,《育達科大學報》,第25期,頁163-180。
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    三、碩士論文
    吳原禎(2008),「氣候變遷對全球稻米市場之經濟影響」,國立中興大學應用經濟學系研究所碩士論文。
    翁翠霞(2001),「社經結構與經濟發展:臺灣個案分析」,國立中山大學人力資源管理研究所碩士論文。
    許怡君(2011),「中國氣候變遷對經濟成長影響之研究」,國立政治大學行政管理研究所碩士論文。
    廖云瑄(2008),「臺灣百年氣溫變化與經濟活動之探討」,國立暨南國際大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。

    四、政府出版品
    2008年《氣候變遷長期影響評估及因應策略研議委託計畫報告》,行政院經濟建設委員會。
    2009年《1897~2008年臺灣氣候變化統計報告》,中央氣象局。
    2011年《臺灣氣候變遷科學報告》,行政院國家科學委員會,臺灣氣候變
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    財政研究所
    99255015
    100
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099255015
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[財政學系] 學位論文

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