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政大機構典藏 > 社會科學學院 > 地政學系 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/8498

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/8498

Title:	House Prices and Household Income: Do They Move Apart? Evidence from Taiwan
Authors:	Ming-Chi Chen;I-Chun Tsai;Chin-Oh Chang
Keywords:	Income;House prices;Cointegration;STOPBREAK;VECM
Date:	2007-06
Issue Date:	2008-11-18
Abstract:	This paper investigates the equilibrium relationship between house price and household income and what causes disruptions of the equilibrium between them. By using data from Taiwan, the traditional cointegration test does not find evidence for a long-run equilibrium between them, but the stochastic break (STOPBREAK) test, which allows temporary shocks during sample periods, does obtain evidence of their equilibrium relationship. Further use of the Perron test on house price to income ratio (PIR) indicates that the PIR appears to have shifted. Finally, examining the causes of their deviation by vector autoregression (VECM) model, it was found that the slow increase in income may just sustain the long-run trend in house prices. Money supply, representing the investment demand variable, should be mainly responsible for deviation between house price and income and the shift of PIR.
Relation:	Habitat International, 31(2), 243-256
Data Type:	article
DOI 連結:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2007.02.005
DOI:	10.1016/j.habitatint.2007.02.005
Appears in Collections:	[地政學系] 期刊論文

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