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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94670


    Title: 封閉型基金市價過度反應之探討-以中國大陸和美國市場為例
    Authors: 胡毓棠
    Tang, Hu Yu
    Contributors: 胡聯國
    胡毓棠
    Tang, Hu Yu
    Keywords: 過度反應
    封閉型基金
    羊群行為
    效率性
    Date: 2007
    Issue Date: 2016-05-09 11:26:45 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 過度反應在行為財務中是很重要的研究議題,因此本研究以封閉型基金為研究的對象,主要在探討市場上投資者結構的差異對市場所造成的影響,研究方法是參考Ahmet & Caginalp(2006)。根據本研究的結果顯示:在大陸市場的封閉型基金是以機構投資者為主,而在美國市場的封閉型基金則是以個人投資者為主,經過本研究的實證結果發現,在大陸封閉型基金市場只有在短期有過度反應的情形,而長期則不顯著;但在美國封閉型基金市場則是在短期和長期都有過度反應的情況,因此,本研究認為在以機構投資者主導的市場中,機構投資者可發揮其穩定市場的力量,使得長期間比個人投資者主導的市場較有效率。

    另外本研究也將美國封閉型基金中的股票型和債券型分別檢定是否有過度反應的現象,結果發現在股票型基金是明顯有過度反應,而在債券型則是沒有明顯的過度反應,兩者的差異可能與投資者對這兩種商品未來價值不確定性的大小有關,由於當投資者的不確定性增加,會使得投資者較容易產生羊群行為(herd behavior),因此,投資者的羊群行為使得市場的波動更加劇烈,當投資者一窩蜂的追漲殺跌使得市場出現過度反應的現象。
    Reference: 英文文獻
    Anderson, S. (1986).“Close-end funds versus market efficiency,” Journal of Portfolio Management 13,63-7.

    Ahmet Duran and Gunduz Caginalp (2007) “Overreaction diamonds: precursors and aftershocksfor significant price changes”, Quantitative Finance, Vol. 7, No. 3, June, 321–342

    Ana-Maria Fuertes *, Dylan C. Thomas (2006) “Large market shocks and abnormal closed-end-fund price behaviour,” Journal of Banking & Finance 30 2517–2535

    Barberis, Nicholas and Ming Huang.(2000).“Mental accounting ,loss aversion ,and individual stock returns,”University of Chicago Manuscript.

    Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., and Vishny, R., (1998) “A model of investor Sentiment,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.49, , pp.307-343.

    Bannerjee,A.V,(1992) “A Simple Model of Herd Behavior,Quarterly” Journal of Economics,107(3),797-817.

    Daniel, K. D., D. Hirshleifer, and A. Subrahmanyam, (1998), “Investor Psychology and Security Market Under- and Over-Reactions,” Journal of Finance, 53, 1839-1886.

    De Bondt, W. and R. Thaler, (1985), “Does the Stock Market Overreact?” Journal of Finance,40, 793-805.

    De Bondt, Werner F. M., and Richard Thaler., (1987), “Further evidence of investor overreaction and stock market seasonality,” The Journal of Finance 42,pp.557-581.

    DeLong, J. B., A. Shleifer, L. H. Summers, and R. J. Waldmann, (1990), “Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation,” Journal of Finance, 45,379-396.

    Fama, E. F. (1970).“Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work,” Journal of Finance 25,383-417.

    Fama, E. F., and K. R. French (1995).“Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns,” Journal of Finance 50, 131-156.

    Hirshleifer, David (2001).“Investor psychology and asset pricing,” Journal of Finance Forthcoming.

    Hong, H., and Stein, J. C (1997). “A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset market,” The Journal of Finance. Volume 54 Issue 6 2143-2184.

    Jegadeesh, N. and S. Titman, (1993). “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: “Implications for Stock Market Efficiency,” Journal of Finance, 48, 65-91.

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    Jegadeesh, N. and S. Titman, (2001), “Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations,” Journal of Finance, 56, 699-720.

    Kahneman , Daniel, and Amos Tversky (1979).“Prospect theory : An analysis of decision under risk,”Econometrica vol.47 no.2(March),263-91.

    Lakonishok, J., A. Shleifer and R. W. Vishny(1992).“The impact of institutional tradingon stock prices,” Journal of Financial Economics 32, 23-43.

    Lakonishok, J., A. Shleifer and R. W. Vishny (1994).“Contrarian investment, extrapolation and risk,” Journal of Finance 49, 1541-1578.

    Shefrin, H. and M. Statman (1985).“The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: theory and evidence,” Journal of Finance, 777-790.

    Scharfstein,D,S and J.C. Stein,(1990) Herd Behavior and Investment,American Economic Review,80,465-79.

    Wermers, R., (1999), “Mutual Fund Herding and the Impact on Stock Prices,” Journal of Finance, 54, 581-622.

    Zarowin, P., (1989), “Short-Run Market Overreact: Size and Seasonality Effects,” Journal of Portfolio Management, 15, 26-29

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    中文文獻
    林憬鳳 ,「股票購回過度反應-行為財務之實證研究」 中原大學會計研究所碩士論文,2006年

    洪國軒,「反向投資策略之績效分析及因素之探討」-以臺灣股票市場為例,國立中央大學產業經濟研究所碩士論文,2006年

    絲文銘,民83 年,「股票市場過度反應與風險變化關係之探討」,證券市場發展季刊,pp.1-40。

    謝政能,「台灣股票市場過度反應之研究」,中山大學企業管理研究所碩士論文,1991年。
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    國際經營與貿易學系
    95351026
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0953510261
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[國際經營與貿易學系 ] 學位論文

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