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    题名: 論戰國時期的推卸責任-攻勢現實主義的觀點及分析
    Buckpassing in Warring States Period: a view and analysis from Offensive Realism
    作者: 黃柏維
    贡献者: 邱坤玄
    黃柏維
    关键词: 攻勢現實主義
    推卸責任
    戰國時期
    相對地理位置
    聯盟
    日期: 2008
    上传时间: 2016-05-09 13:29:21 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 論文摘要

    本文最主要討論的核心在於研究國際體系中,國家在何種情形下會偏向抗衡,何種情形下又會偏向於推卸責任?由此本文從攻勢現實主義出發,列出主要三大要素:極性、相對地理位置、有無潛在霸權,針對戰國時期各主要大國的互動行為觀察。本文利用個案分析法,透過控制類比與個案內比較的方式進行研究,總共整理戰國時期的兩百次戰爭紀錄,並且區分為四個主要時期:BC419-360、BC359-318、BC317-260、BC 259-221。藉由衡量潛在霸權國,並且分析各時期的聯盟、戰爭參與國家,證明:一)戰國時期的主要大國如理論所預期,傾向於選擇推卸責任;二)戰國時期的主要大國在多極體系下,其戰略選擇會受潛在霸權國、相對地理位置的影響,在有潛在霸權國、地理位置接近時,大國會選擇抗衡,其餘則傾向於推卸責任。本文同時發現,潛在霸權國的存在不影響戰爭發生的頻率。


    關鍵詞:攻勢現實主義、推卸責任、戰國、相對地理位置、聯盟
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