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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/96141


    Title: 由投資-儲蓄相關性檢定資本移動性－台灣的實證研究
    Authors: 江以誠
    Contributors: 朱美麗
    江以誠
    Date: 1998
    Issue Date: 2016-05-10 16:35:34 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 　　為了與台灣的資本管制解除的措施相驗證，本文利用台灣的季資料，將期間分為兩階段，以共整合方法分析國內投資率與國民儲蓄率的長期關係，驗證台灣資本移動的情形。研究結果發現：在第一段資本管制的期間，雖然國內投資率與國民儲蓄率存在一負向的共整合關係，但由於金融帳餘額與經常帳餘額無共整合關係，而央行特有的外匯存底變動與經常帳餘額有著共整合的長期關係，此與資本移動具嚴格管制的事實相符合。在第二段國際資本移動開放的期間，我們不拒絕國內投資率與國民儲蓄率無共整合向量關係，因此國民儲蓄率與國內投資率不具任何關係，這表示當資本具有高度移動性時，投資與儲蓄不具相關性。
    　　Under the concept of national income accounting, this paper elicits the identity of two variables: domestic investment rate, and national saving rate. In order to assess the degree of capital mobility of Taiwan in the sense of Feldstein and Horika, this paper estimates the relationships between the saving rate, and investment rate with cointegration. Main conclusions are :ln the first period (1979:1-1989:3), a unique negative long-run relationship between the saving rate and investment rate. However, a unique positive long-run relationship between the change in foreign reserves and the current account, and no long-run relationship between the financial account and the current account can`t be rejected. These empirical evidences show that capital mobility is lower in this period. In the second period(1989:4-1997:4) of lifting financial regulations, domestic investment rate and national saving rate do not appear to be cointegrated. This finding shows a tendency of more mobile capital in recent years.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000615
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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