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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/97957


    Title: 從民意調查預測台灣選舉
    Authors: 陳陸輝;陳映男
    Contributors: 選研中心
    Keywords: 民意調查;選舉預測;總體資料
    Date: 2015
    Issue Date: 2016-06-16 16:23:36 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究检视在2014年台湾地方选举中,如何运用选前民意调查,来预测可能选举结果。我们结合民意调查、涵盖率以及总体资料等资讯,先针对台北市与台中市长选前民调与选举结果做比较,发现有不错的效果。不过,此一模式运用在现任者参选或是选前有特定候选人较被看好的选举,则表现略差,但较贴近实际结果。
    Relation: 台湾研究, 2015年03期 , No.133, pp.16-25
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.13818/j.cnki.twyj.2015.03.003
    DOI: 10.13818/j.cnki.twyj.2015.03.003
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究中心] 期刊論文

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