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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/98642


    Title: 臺灣各類股與國際股市間外溢效果的認定與動態分析
    Spillover effects and dynamic analysis between Taiwan and global stock markets
    Authors: 李佳磬
    Contributors: 徐士勛
    李佳磬
    Keywords: 金融傳導
    外溢效果
    預測誤差變異數分解
    Date: 2016
    Issue Date: 2016-07-01 15:23:57 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文應用向量自我迴歸模型與一般化預測誤差變異數分解,並將其估計結果導入網路拓樸與引力佈局模型的概念,來探討臺灣類股與國際股票市場之間報酬率的傳導結構與外溢效果。我們使用了 2001 年 7 月至 2015 年 10 月的臺灣加權股價指數、臺灣 19 個類股股價指數與國際間 43 個國家之主要股市指數來進行分析。我們發現,除了已開發國家之股市對臺灣類股有較大的影響外,部份亞洲發展中國家亦與臺灣類股之間有相當緊密的連結。另外,雖然國際股市對臺灣類股的外溢效果在 2013 年之後有所下降,但整體而言,臺灣類股受到國際股市的影響在過去十年之間大致呈現上升的趨勢。
    Reference: 黃裕烈、管中閔 (2014), “向量自我迴歸模型, 計量方法與 R 程式”。
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    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    經濟學系
    103258012
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103258012
    Data Type: thesis
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 學位論文

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