政大機構典藏-National Chengchi University Institutional Repository(NCCUR):Item 140.119/157403

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Title:	國際人權非政府組織與發展中國家的政體變遷 Human Rights Ingos and Regime Change in Developing Countries
Authors:	蘇彥斌
Contributors:	政治系
Keywords:	國際人權非政府組織;發展中國家;政體變遷;跨國人權倡議網絡 International Non-Governmental Organization;Developing Countries;Regime Change;Transnational Human Rights Advocacy Networks
Date:	2022-06
Issue Date:	2025-06-19
Abstract:	本計畫兼採量化與質化分析途徑，探討國際人權非政府組織在發展中國家政體變遷過程中的角色。許多發展中國家在過去歷經過從威權轉型到民主體制的過程，而有些後轉型國家持續提升其民主發展，有些後來卻歷經民主崩潰，這些劇烈的政治變動改變了國家與社會的關係，更影響了這些發展中國家的政治發展。有別於既有文獻大多從「總體層次」（macro-level）的角度探討政體變遷，本計畫採取一種「中層層次」（meso-level）的角度來解釋政體變遷，主張國際人權非政府組織網絡的密集程度會影響發展中國家的民主轉型、民主發展與民主崩潰。具體而言，本計畫提出兩組假設：一、當一個威權國家有愈密集的國際人權非政府組織網絡時，將會提高其民主轉型的可能性；而對於後轉型國家而言，則會促進其民主發展、並降低民主崩潰的可能性；二、當一個威權國家有愈密集的國際人權非政府組織網絡時，且該國從其他民主國家得到愈多發展國際援助時，將會提高其民主轉型的可能性；而對於後轉型國家而言，則會促進其民主發展、並降低民主崩潰的可能性。為了驗證這兩組假設，計畫主持人整合若干既有的大型資料庫，並對於國際人權非政府組織的資料進行重新編碼，對於1960年至2013年全球發展中國家的政體變遷進行量化分析。其次，計畫主持人將前往美國、阿根廷與烏拉圭進行移地研究，蒐集歷史檔案資料並訪談政治菁英與人權工作者，希望能從質化分析的角度與理論的預期進行比對檢證。整體而言，本計畫希望能透過研究國際人權非政府組織與政體變遷的關係，期望能對發展中國家的政治發展提供啟發，並希冀能對比較政治學界有所貢獻。 This project aims to examine regime change in developing countries by focusing on the role of international human rights non-governmental organizations (HROs hereafter). Numerous developing countries have experienced democratic transitions. Some post-transition countries have achieved a better democratic development, while others have experienced democratic breakdowns. The dramatic political change has altered state-society relations and influenced the political development of these developing countries. To better understand the dynamics of regime change, this project adopts a meso-level explanatory perspective, arguing that the density of HROs will have impacts on developing countries’ democratic transitions, democratic development, and democratic breakdowns. Specifically, this project proposes and tests two sets of hypotheses. The first set of hypotheses suggests that an autocracy is more likely to experience democratic transitions when the HROs networks density is higher in the country; moreover, higher HROs networks density will increase the level of democracy and reduce the probability of democratic breakdowns in a post-transition country. The second set of hypotheses suggests that an autocracy is more likely to experience democratic transitions when this country has high HROs networks density and has greater dependence on foreign aid from democratic countries; moreover, the interaction effects of HROs networks density and foreign aid dependence will increase the level of democracy and reduce the probability of democratic breakdowns in a post-transition country. To test these hypotheses, the PI will employ quantitative methods to analyze data of developing countries from 1960 to 2013. The PI will also conduct field work in the United States, Argentina, and Uruguay to gather qualitative data and conduct elite interviews with politicians and human right activists. Overall, this project aims to provide important policy implications for developing countries and contribute to the comparative politics literature by providing new theoretical perspectives and empirical findings.
Relation:	科技部, MOST109-2410-H004-182, 109.08-110.07
Data Type:	report
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Political Science] NSC Projects

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