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| Title: | 關係性考量對中共處理領土爭端之影響：中越與中印衝突比較案例研究
The Impact of Relational Perceptions on the CCP's Managements of Territorial Conflicts: Comparing the Cases of Sino-Vietnam and Sino-India Disputes |
| Authors: | 廖恒德
Liao, Heng-Te |
| Contributors: | 黃瓊萩
Huang, Chiung-Chiu
廖恒德
Liao, Heng-Te |
| Keywords: | 關係性考量
領土爭端
中越關係
中印關係
強制性手段
Relational perception
Territorial disputes
Sino-Vietnamese relations
Sino-Indian relations
Coercion |
| Date: | 2025 |
| Issue Date: | 2025-08-04 15:25:32 (UTC+8) |
| Abstract: | 隨著中國實力的迅速增長，其對外行為日益受到關注，特別是在南海與中印邊界的作為，常被視為愈趨強勢，甚至試圖改變區域現狀。然而，觀察中國在領土爭端中的實際行為，卻可見其有時訴諸強制手段以脅迫他國讓步，有時則選擇主動退讓，其行為模式相當矛盾。本文試圖解釋此一矛盾現象，有別於既有文獻多半以理性抉擇的途徑分析，本文則從關係性視角切入，探討中國對於雙邊關係的認知是否形塑其在領土爭端中的行為。在理論上，本文提出「關係性考量」的概念，並以兩個變數──關係穩定與關係期待提出本文的理論框架，藉此回答以下問題：中國對雙邊關係的認知，是否影響其是否訴諸強制手段處理領土爭端？本文採用可控制的比較案例設計，選擇中越南海主權爭端與中印邊界爭端兩案進行比較，以檢驗理論假設。研究發現，中國對雙邊關係的認知確實會影響其對領土爭端的處理模式。當中國認知雙邊關係處於不穩定狀態時，傾向持續使用強制性手段；反之，若認知關係穩定，則傾向自我克制，避免衝突升級。雖然「關係期待」仍具一定解釋力，但在操作化過程中仍面臨挑戰，未來研究可進一步發展此概念。本研究的貢獻在於理解中國在領土爭端中矛盾的行為的背後邏輯，並為分析中國對外行為提供新的視角。
As China’s national power has rapidly increased, its foreign behavior has come under growing scrutiny—particularly its actions in the South China Sea and along the Sino-Indian border, which are often perceived as increasingly assertive and aimed at altering the regional status quo. However, China’s coercive behabior on territorial disputes is puzzling: while it sometimes resorts to coercion to pressure other states into concessions, it sometimes easily compromises. This thesis aims to explain this puzzling pattern. Unlike rationalist approaches in the existing literature, this study adopts a relational approach to investigate whether China’s perception of bilateral relationships shapes its behavior in territorial disputes. Drawing insights from literatures of balance of relationship, this study developes the concept of “relational perception”. By introducing two key variables—relational stability and relational expectation, this study constructs a theoretical framework to examine China’s behavior in territorial disputes. The research question is: Does China’s perception of bilateral relationships influence its use of coercive measures in territorial disputes? To address this question, this study employs a controlled comparative case study design, focusing on two cases: the Sino-Vietnamese dispute in the South China Sea and the Sino-Indian border dispute. The findings suggest that China’s perception of bilateral relations influences its approach to territorial disputes. When China perceives a bilateral relationship as unstable, it is more likely to persist in employing coercion. In contrast, when it perceives the relationship as stable, it tends to exercise self-restraint and avoid escalating tensions. While relational expectation helps illuminate certain aspects of China’s behavior, the concept faces limitations in operationalization and warrants further theoretical development. This study contributes to the broader understanding of China’s seemingly inconsistent behaviors in territorial disputes and provides a novel analytical lens through which to analyze China’s foreign policy. |
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Chang Liao, N. (2018). Winds of Change: Assessing China’s Assertive Turn in Foreign Policy. Journal of Asian and African Studies, 53(6), 880–895. https://doi.org/10.1177/0021909618762477
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三、越南文書目
Người Lao Động. (2019). Trưởng ban Tuyên giáo Trung ương Võ Văn Thưởng đề nghị Trung Quốc tôn trọng chủ quyền của Việt Nam trên biển. July 22. https://nld.com.vn/thoi-su/truong-ban-tuyen-giao-trung-uong-vo-van-thuong-de-nghi-trung-quoc-ton-trong-chu-quyen-cua-viet-nam-tren-bien-20190722101552763.htm |
| Description: | 碩士
國立政治大學
東亞研究所
111260001 |
| Source URI: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111260001 |
| Data Type: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | [東亞研究所] 學位論文
|
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| 000101.pdf | | 3607Kb | Adobe PDF | 0 | View/Open |
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