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    Title: 台湾における2018年直轄市.県市長選挙の状況分析
    2018年台灣直轄市與縣市長選舉選情分析
    The 2018 Taiwan`s Mayoral and Magisterial Elections
    Authors: 張傳賢
    Chang, Alex C. H.
    田中研也
    Contributors: 問題と研究
    Keywords: 蔡英文 ; 民進党 ; 同性婚 ; ジェンダー教育 ; 国民投票 
    蔡英文 ; 民進黨 ; 婚姻平權 ; 性平教育 ; 公民投票
    Ing-wen Tsai ; Democratic Progressive Party ; Marriage Equality ; Gender Equality Education ; Referendum
    Date: 2019-06
    Issue Date: 2020-11-17 10:48:42 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 2018年11月24日に行われた統一地方選挙は、蔡英文が総統就任後初めて迎えた「中間選挙」であった。今回の選挙で民進党は重大な敗北に直面し、得票率が大幅に落ちただけではなく、首長の座を確保していた直轄市.県.市も4都9県市から2都4県市に減った。2016年に総統.立法委員の両選挙を制し完全な与党となった蔡英文と民進党政府は、二年半が経ったばかりの時期になぜここまでの大敗を喫したのか。本論文では蔡英文の総統就任後に進行した重大な政治改革から出発し、民進党が国民の支持を失ったキーポイントを探る。筆者は、地方政治の施政が理想的でなかったことと、政策への立場が不安定だったことが、支持を失った最大の要素であると考える。
    2018年11月24日舉行的地方選舉是蔡英文就職後首次面對的期中選舉。在本次選舉中民進黨面臨重大的挫敗,不僅得票率大幅下滑,執政的直轄市、縣市也由原先的4都9縣市縮減為2都4縣市。何以2016年總統與立法委員選舉中完全執政的蔡英文與民進黨政府,甫執政兩年就面臨如此重大的挫敗?本文試圖從蔡英文上台後所進行的幾項重大政策改革出發,從中探究民進黨失去人民支持的關鍵性因素。個人認為地方施政不佳與政策立場搖擺不定是導致失去支持的最關鍵因素。
    The local elections held in November 24, 2018 were the first midterm elections after President Ing-wen Tsai`s inauguration. In this election, the DPP`s vote share dramatically declined from 47.6% in 2014 to 39.2%, and the numbers of administrative district held by the DPP also decreased from 4 municipalities and 9 cities and counties to 2 municipalities and 4 cities and counties, respectively. Why did Ing-wen Tsai`s administration and the DPP face such a heavy defeat in her first two years? This paper sets out to investigate why the DPP lost its electoral support from Ing-wen Tsai`s political reforms, in which I argue that the poor local governance and unclear policy goals were the major reasons for the DPP`s loss in electoral support.
    Relation: 問題と研究, 48(2), 43-80
    Data Type: article
    DOI link: https://doi.org/10.30391/ISJ.201906_48(2).0002
    DOI: 10.30391/ISJ.201906_48(2).0002
    Appears in Collections:[Mondai to Kenkyu] Journal Articles

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