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政大機構典藏 > 學術期刊 > 問題と研究 > 期刊論文 > Item 140.119/137889

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/137889

Title:	バック．トゥ．ザ．フューチャー：19世紀末と現代の日中関係回到未來：比較19世紀晚期與當代的中日關係 Back to the Future: Comparison Between the Sino-Japan Relationship in the 19th Century and in the 21st Century
Authors:	廖小娟 Liao, Hsiao-Chuan 田中研也
Contributors:	問題と研究
Keywords:	日中関係 ; パワー ; 国家の不満 ; 冒険的態度 ; 中国の台頭中日關係 ; 權力 ; 國家不滿意 ; 冒險態度 ; 中國崛起 Sino-Japanese relationship ; power ; state dissatisfaction ; risk propensity ; China`s rising
Date:	2021-03
Issue Date:	2021-11-18 15:05:24 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	今世紀に入って中国が東アジアで急速に台頭するのに伴い、最近の日中関係は19世紀に台頭した日本と清朝末期の相互作用の過程を再現しているかのように見える。本論では、19世紀と21世紀初頭の日中間における相互作用の過程と推移を比較し、両時期が明らかに相似していることを指摘する。また、両国の勢力が接近している際、一方が相手国、あるいは自らの国際的地位に不満を抱き、かつ冒険的な態度をとる場合、その国は現状変更に向けた行為をとる可能性がある。反対にその国が冒険を嫌う態度をとる場合は、現状維持に向けた行為をとる。このような相互作用が日中関係の「ニュー．ノーマル」となる。このような相互作用は19世紀には戦争をもたらし、現代でも一時期緊張を招くことになった。戦争を回避したいのなら、後を追う国家の「願望」を変えさせなければならない。隨著中國在本世紀於東亞區域快速崛起後，中日關係近來的發展似乎重回了日本當初在19世紀崛起與晚清互動的過程。透過比較中日在19世紀下旬和21世紀早期的互動過程與發展，本文發現了顯著的相似性，並提出當中日進入權力相近時候，倘若一國對於另一國或國際地位感到不滿意，並且採取冒險態度的時候，該國就有可能採取改變現狀的行為。倘若一國採取厭惡冒險的態度時，則該國就會採取維持現狀的行為。而這樣的中日互動就成了中日關係的「新常態」。19世紀中日互動帶來戰爭，當代中日如此互動則一度帶來中日緊張關係，若要避免戰爭發生，則必須改變後起者的「意願」。 The development of the Sino-Japanese relationship as a consequence of China`s increasing prominence has resulted in East Asia repeating the history of Japan`s ascent to global prominence in the 19th century. A comparison between the Sino-Japanese relationship in the late 19th century and that in the early 21st century shows significant similarities. Specifically, this article argues that when China and Japan enter a period of power parity, if one country is not satisfied with another or with its international status, and tends to seek risk, that country will take revisionist behavior. If the country is risk-averse, he will adopt the behavior that maintains the status quo. This is the ＂new normal＂ for Sino-Japan relations. In the 19th century, the war came at the end of this interactive pattern between China and Japan. Therefore, it is necessary to shift the existing propensity for risk between the two nations because such a shift could help the countries avoid a recurrence of the 1894 tragedy.
Relation:	問題と研究, 50(1), 85-126
Data Type:	article
DOI 連結:	https://doi.org/10.30391/ISJ.202103_50(1).0003
DOI:	10.30391/ISJ.202103_50(1).0003
Appears in Collections:	[問題と研究] 期刊論文

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