English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 110944/141864 (78%)
Visitors : 47847187      Online Users : 866
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
    •  Adv. Search
    Home ‧ Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer Goto mobile version


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/113665


    Title: 廢票為何發生？兼論臺灣選舉無效票之空間效應，1992-2008
    What Causes the Invalid Votes? With a Concurrently Discussion of Spatial Analysis of Invalid Votes in Taiwan`s Elections, 1992-2008
    Authors: 鄧志松
    吳親恩
    柯一榮
    Teng, Chih-Sung
    Wu, Chin-En
    Ko, I-Jung
    Keywords: 無效票率;空間自相關;空間異質;追蹤分析;空間迴歸
    invalid vote;spatial autocorrelation;spatial heterogeneity;panel data analysis;spatial regression
    Date: 2012-11
    Issue Date: 2017-10-16 17:13:35 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 有關選舉無效票（即廢票）的研究很少，主要原因是無效票比率通常不高，對選舉結果的影響不大；而且無效票一般被視為是「疏失」造成，並非選民「意志」的表現，因此很少人探討其發生的原因。作者考察我國1992至2008年，37個不同類型的選舉，結果發現無效票率的空間分布並非隨機，且有一定的模式。不同類型的選舉，無效票率的高低有跡可尋，代表無效票率其實是可以被解釋的，其背後有社會與制度因素存在。經由無效票率的追蹤分析（panel data analysis）後，發現選舉法規、選舉複雜程度、選舉受重視程度、選舉年度及經社背景變數（教育年數、老年人口、人口密度比及原住民人口比例），約可解釋34%之無效票率變異。作者進一步以空間迴歸模型探討，發現無效票率存在正向之空間自相關情形，部分地區則有明顯空間異質現象，極有可能是該地區民眾長期對政治冷漠使然，如果我們要提昇民主的內涵，則這些無效票率特別高的地方值得關注。
    The issue of invalid votes receives few scholarly attentions. Many consider invalid votes as the result of unintended behavior and do not explore the factors that may influence the incidence of invalid votes. We examine 37 elections of different levels between 1992 and 2008 in Taiwan by using panel data analysis. We find that the distribution of invalid votes are not random but are influenced by institutional and socioeconomic factors. Regarding institutional factors, the elections codes, the complexity of elections, the importance of elections, and years after the democratic transition are the main influencing factors. Years of education, the percentage of elders, population density, and percentage of indigenous citizens are the main socioeconomic variables that affect the incidence of invalid votes. The two strings of factors can explain about 34% of the variance in invalid votes. In addition to the pooled OLS model, we also employ spatial lag model and spatial error model. The two models show that the distribution of invalid votes exhibit positive spatial autocorrelation. In addition, some areas also exhibit spatial heterogeneity, which is likely to be attributed to the alienation of voters in the districts. We might need to pay special attention to these areas to enhance the quality of democracy.
    Relation: 選舉研究 , 19(2) , 71-100
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: http://dx.doi.org/10.6612%2ftjes.2012.19.02.71-100
    DOI: 10.6612/tjes.2012.19.02.71-100
    Appears in Collections:[選舉研究 TSSCI] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File SizeFormat
    19(2)(071-100).pdf2083KbAdobe PDF2295View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告 Copyright Announcement
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏，無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用，惟仍請適度，合理使用本網站之內容，以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用，則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    The digital content of this website is part of National Chengchi University Institutional Repository. It provides free access to academic research and public education for non-commercial use. Please utilize it in a proper and reasonable manner and respect the rights of copyright owners. For commercial use, please obtain authorization from the copyright owner in advance.

    2.本網站之製作，已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益，如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者，請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw)，維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    NCCU Institutional Repository is made to protect the interests of copyright owners. If you believe that any material on the website infringes copyright, please contact our staff(nccur@nccu.edu.tw). We will remove the work from the repository and investigate your claim.
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback