English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 97333/127992 (76%)
Visitors : 33844178      Online Users : 286
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131765


    Title: 農地面積管制政策轉變對農地價格之影響—台灣之實證研究
    The impact of policy change of the lot size program on the agriculture land prices- the evidence from Taiwan
    Authors: 俞錚
    Yu, Zheng
    Contributors: 白仁德
    李春長

    Pai, Jen-Te
    Lee, Chung-Chang

    俞錚
    Yu, Zheng
    Keywords: 農地面積管制
    農地政策轉變
    農地價格
    斷點迴歸設計
    差異斷點模型
    lot size program
    farmland policy change
    farmland prices
    regression of discontinuity design
    difference-in-discontinuity
    Date: 2020
    Issue Date: 2020-09-02 12:41:39 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究採用實價登錄網站 2014 年 1 月到 2014 年 12 月的資料以及 2016 年 1 月到 2018 年 2 月農地實際成交資料並應用斷點迴歸設計和差異斷點迴歸探討農 地面積管制和農地政策轉變對農地價格之影響。斷點迴歸設計之實證結果顯示, 農地面積管制只會對非都市土地農地土地產生顯著正向影響,在農地政策轉變之 前,農地面積管制會使得非都市土地農地價格增加 100.190 萬元,單價增加 434.340 元;在政策轉變之後,農地面積管制會增加農地價格總總價 76.849 萬元, 單價增加 321.960 元。而農地面積管制對都市土地農地價格並未有顯著影響。此 外,農地面積管制也會對農地銷售數量產生顯著正向影響。在農地政策轉變之前, 農地面積管制會讓面積超過 0.25 公頃的土地銷售數量增加約 11 次,在農地政策 轉變之後,則會增加約 8 次。差異斷點迴歸模型之實證結果顯示,農地政策轉變, 即 2015 年修訂「農業用地興建農舍辦法」,對非都市土地農地產生顯著負向影 響。在政策轉變之後,農地價格下降了 48.916 萬元,單價下降 394.879 元。實證 結果表示「農業用地興建農舍辦法」法案的修正有達到降低農地價格,冷卻農地 市場的預期效果。農地政策轉變並未對都市土地農地價格產生顯著影響。
    This study uses the data from the real housing price website that spans from the period from January 2014 to December 2014 and January 2016 to February 2018 and the Regression of Discontinuity Design (RDD) as well as the Difference-in-Discontinuity (Diff-in-Disc) to investigate the impact of the lot size program and the farmland policy change to farmland prices. The empirical results indicate that the lot size program can only cause a significant impact on farmland prices of non-urban land areas. More specifically, before the policy change, the lot size program increases farmland prices about 1001.90 thousands NTD in total prices and 434.340 NTD in unit prices. After the policy change, the lot size program enhances farmland prices about 768.49 thousands NTD in total prices and 321.960 NTD in unit prices. On the contrary, this lot size program does not have a significant impact on urban land areas. In addition, this lot size program significantly increases sales volumes of farmlands. Before the farmland policy change, the lot size program would increase sale volumes about 11 times around the 0.25 hectare. Also, after the farmland policy change, the lot size program would increase sale volumes about 11 times around the 0.25 hectare. Furthermore, results of the Difference-in-Discontinuity show that this farmland policy change, the amendment of regulation of building farm houses on agricultural land, has a negative impact on the farmland prices of non-urban land areas, which reduces about 489.16 thousands NTD in total prices and 394.879 NTD in unit prices. Those results suggest that this amendment achieves the aim of reducing farmland prices and cooling the farmland market. In contrast, this farmland policy change has no significant influence on urban land area.
    Reference: 中文文獻
    農委會,2015,「調整農業用地申請興建農舍規範」,『農委會年報』。

    農委會,2017,「農舍執行疑義手冊」。

    吳顯文,2016,「影響農地價格因素之研究-以宜蘭縣為例」,國立台灣大學碩 士論文:台北。

    梁維真,2015,「臺灣農地法拍價格之決定因素」,國立政治大學碩士論文:台 北。

    李至千,2016,「自然景觀與農地管制對農地價格之影響」,國立政治大學碩士 論文:台北。

    黃炳文,2005,「農地興建農舍的課題與方向調整」,『農業世界』,278:93-97。

    劉健哲、黃炳文,2004,「農地管理政策與農地興建農舍問題之研究」,『經社 法制論叢』,34: 305-336。

    簡啓珉,2018,「高雄市環狀輕軌對鄰近地區住宅價格之影響:以差異中之差異 法結合分量迴歸模型之分析」,國立屏東大學碩士論文:屏東。

    洪惠娟,2016,「大眾捷運系統對鄰近住宅價格之影響-空間計量之應用」,國 立屏東大學碩士論文;屏東。

    張志銘,2003,「耕地分割與農地興建農舍 0.25 公頃面積限制之探討」,『農 政與農情』 ,137。

    彭作奎、謝佑立,2008,「台灣農業結構之變化與農業政策之重點」,『台灣農 學會報』,9(6):604 - 614。

    黃秋萍,2013,「農業用地興建農舍辦法修正簡介」,『農政與農情』 ,255。

    王翔榆、黃秋萍,2015,「農業用地興建農舍辦法修正簡介」,『農政與農情』 , 281。

    楊子霆,2018, 「簡介 Regression Discontinuity Design: 理論與應用」, 『會計審計論叢』,8(1),29-48。

    林國慶、趙惠萍,1994,「農地區位地價之研究」,『土地經濟年刊』,5,73-104。

    陳明燦,1998,「農地價格、選擇價值與農地政策--不同類型農業區之實證研究」, 『法商學報』,34:209-234。

    江瑞如,2010,「都市計畫農業區多功能性績效管制機制之探討」,國立政治大 學碩士論文:台北。

    外文文獻
    Anderson, J. E., 2012, “Agricultural Use‐Value Property Tax Assessment: Estimation and Policy Issues.” Public Budgeting & Finance, 32(4): 71-94.

    Bates, L. J., & Santerre, R. E., 1994, “The determinants of restrictive residential zoning: some empirical findings.” Journal of Regional Science, 34(2): 253-263.

    Bharadwaj, P., Løken, K. V., & Neilson, C., 2013, “Early Life Health Interventions and Academic Achievement.” The American Economic Review, 103(5): 1862-1891.

    Borchers, A., Ifft, J., & Kuethe, T., 2014, “Linking the price of agricultural land to use values and amenities.” American journal of agricultural economics, 96(5): 1307-1320.

    Brueckner, J. K., 1990, “Growth controls and land values in an open city.” Land Economics, 66(3): 237-248.

    Butsic, V., Lewis, D. J., & Ludwig, L., 2011, “An econometric analysis of land development with endogenous zoning.” Land Economics, 87(3): 412-432.

    Calonico, S., Cattaneo, M. D., & Titiunik, R., 2014, “Robust data-driven inference in the regression-discontinuity design.” The Stata Journal, 14(4): 909-946.

    Carpenter, C., & Dobkin, C., 2009, “The Effect of Alcohol Consumption on Mortality: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from the Minimum Drinking Age.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(1): 164-182.

    Chang, H. H., & Lin, T. C., 2015, “Does the minimum lot size program affect farmland values? Empirical evidence using administrative data and regression discontinuity design in Taiwan.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 98(3): 785-801.

    Choumert, J., & Phélinas, P., 2015, “Determinants of agricultural land values in Argentina.” Ecological Economics, 110: 134-140.

    Deaton, B. J., & Vyn, R. J., 2010, “The effect of strict agricultural zoning on agricultural land values: The case of Ontario’s greenbelt.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 92(4): 941-955.

    Drescher, K., Henderson, J., & McNamara, K., 2001, “Farmland prices determinants.” American Agricultural Economics Association, Chicago, the United States, August 5-8.

    Eagle, A. J., Eagle, D. E., Stobbe, T. E., & van Kooten, G. C., 2014, “Farmland protection and agricultural land values at the urban-rural fringe: British Columbia ’ s agricultural land reserve.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 97(1), 282-298.

    Erten, B., & Keskin, P., 2018, “For Better or for Worse?: Education and the Prevalence of Domestic Violence in Turkey.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10(1): 64-105.

    Gelman, A., & Imbens, G., 2018, “Why high-order polynomials should not be used in regression discontinuity designs.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 37(3), 447-456.

    Goodwin, B. K., Mishra, A. K., & Ortalo-Magné, F. N., 2003, “What's wrong with our models of agricultural land values? agricultural land values, government payments, and production.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 85(3): 744-752.

    Grembi, V., Nannicini, T., & Troiano, U., 2016, “Do fiscal rules matter?” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 8(3): 1-30.

    Grout, C. A., Jaeger, W. K., & Plantinga, A. J., 2011, “Land-use regulations and property values in Portland, Oregon: A regression discontinuity design approach.” Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(2): 98-107.

    Hahn, J., Todd, P., & Van der Klaauw, W., 2001, “Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression‐ discontinuity design.” Econometrica, 69(1): 201-209.

    Hu, T., Decker, S. L., & Chou, S. Y., 2017, “The impact of health insurance expansion on physician treatment choice: Medicare part D and physician prescribing.” International journal of health economics and management, 17(3): 333-358.

    Huang, H., Miller, G. Y., Sherrick, B. J., & Gomez, M. I., 2006, “Factors influencing Illinois farmland values.” American journal of agricultural economics, 88(2): 458-470.

    Henneberry, D. M., & Barrows, R. L., 1990, “Capitalization of exclusive agricultural zoning into farmland prices.” Land Economics, 66(3): 249-258.

    Hoekstra, M., 2009, “The effect of attending the flagship state university on earnings: A discontinuity-based approach.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(4): 717-724.

    Huang, H., Miller, G. Y., Sherrick, B. J., & Gomez, M. I., 2006, “Factors influencing Illinois farmland values.” American journal of agricultural economics, 88(2): 458-470.

    Imbens, G. W., & Lemieux, T., 2008, “Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice.” Journal of econometrics, 142(2): 615-635.

    Kahn, M. E., Vaughn, R., & Zasloff, J., 2010, “The housing market effects of discrete land use regulations: Evidence from the California coastal boundary zone.” Journal of Housing Economics, 19(4): 269-279.

    Koster, H. R., van Ommeren, J., & Rietveld, P., 2012, “Bombs, boundaries and buildings: A regression-discontinuity approach to measure costs of housing supply restrictions.” Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(4): 631-641.

    Lawley, C., 2017, “Ownership restrictions and farmland values: evidence from the 2003 Saskatchewan Farm Security Act Amendment.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 100(1): 311-337.

    Lehn, F., & Bahrs, E., 2018, “Analysis of factors influencing standard farmland values with regard to stronger interventions in the German farmland market.” Land Use Policy, 73: 138-146.

    Lee, D. S., & Lemieux, T., 2010, “Regression discontinuity designs in economics.” Journal of economic literature, 48(2): 281-355.

    Lynch, L., & Liu, X., 2007, “Impact of designated preservation areas on rate of preservation and rate of conversion: preliminary evidence.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 89(5): 1205-1210.

    Lin, T. C., & Evans, A. W., 2000, “The relationship between the price of land and size of plot when plots are small.” Land economics, 76(3):386-394.

    Liu, X., & Lynch, L. (2011a), “Do zoning regulations rob rural landowners' equity?” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 93(1): 1-25.

    Liu, X., & Lynch, L., 2011b, “Do agricultural land preservation programs reduce farmland loss? Evidence from a propensity score matching estimator.” Land Economics, 87(2): 183-201.

    Livanis, G., Moss, C. B., Breneman, V. E., & Nehring, R. F.,2006, “Urban sprawl and farmland prices.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 88(4): 915-929.

    Lynch, L., Gray, W., & Geoghegan, J., 2007, “Are farmland preservation program easement restrictions capitalized into farmland prices? What can a propensity score matching analysis tell us?” Review of agricultural economics, 29(3): 502-509.

    Nickerson, C. J., & Lynch, L., 2001, “The effect of farmland preservation programs on farmland prices.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 83(2): 341-351.

    Patton, M., & McErlean, S., 2003, “Spatial effects within the agricultural land market in Northern Ireland.” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 54(1): 35-54.

    Thistlethwaite, D. L., & Campbell, D. T., 1960, “Regression-discontinuity analysis: An alternative to the ex post facto experiment.” Journal of Educational Psychology, 51(6): 309-317.

    Wallace, N. E., 1988, “The market effects of zoning undeveloped land: Does zoning follow the market?” Journal of Urban Economics, 23(3): 307-326.

    Wheaton, W. C., 1993, “Land capitalization, Tiebout mobility, and the role of zoning regulations.” Journal of Urban Economics, 34(2): 102-117.

    Wu, J., & Lin, H., 2010, “The effect of the conservation reserve program on land values.” Land Economics, 86(1): 1-21.

    Zabel, J., & Dalton, M., 2011, “The impact of minimum lot size regulations on house prices in Eastern Massachusetts.” Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(6): 571-583.

    Zhang, W., & Nickerson, C. J., 2015, “Housing market bust and farmland values: Identifying the changing influence of proximity to urban centers.” Land Economics, 91(4): 605-626.

    Zhou, J., McMillen, D. P., & McDonald, J. F., 2008, “Land values and the 1957 comprehensive amendment to the Chicago zoning ordinance.” Urban Studies, 45(8): 1647-1661.
    Description: 碩士
    國立政治大學
    地政學系
    107257035
    Source URI: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107257035
    Data Type: thesis
    DOI: 10.6814/NCCU202001375
    Appears in Collections:[地政學系] 學位論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    703501.pdf1866KbAdobe PDF0View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback