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    政大機構典藏 > 學術期刊 > 問題と研究 > 期刊論文 >  Item 140.119/143230


    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/143230


    Title: 緊張高まる東アジア--対米牽制で一致する中国と北朝鮮
    緊張情勢升高的東亞--牽制美國上步調一致的中國與北韓
    Rising Tensions in East Asia: Synchronized Paths of China and North Korea in Containing the U.S.
    Authors: 堀田幸裕
    Hotta, Yukihiro
    Contributors: 問題と研究
    Keywords: 中朝関係;中朝友好協力相互援助条約;米中対立;北朝鮮非核化;東アジアの安全保障
    中朝關係;中朝友好合作互助條約;美中對立;北韓非核化;東亞安全保障
    China-North Korean Relations;Mutual Aid and Cooperation Friendship Treaty Between PRC and DPRK;U.S.-China Rivalry;North Korea Denuclearization;East Asian Security
    Date: 2022-12
    Issue Date: 2023-02-06 09:04:03 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 米中対立が激化する中で、東アジアの緊張が高まっている。台湾海峡では、2022年8月のペロシ米下院議長の訪台をめぐって中国軍が大規模な軍事演習で対抗するなど、その影響は台湾のみならず、日本や韓国にとっても対岸の火事ではなくなっている。東アジアにおける米国の関与が大きくなる中で、中国と同じく米国への牽制という点で一致する北朝鮮とロシアの存在感も増している。コロナ禍で一時的に中国と北朝鮮の経済関係については落ち込んだが、2019年の習近平訪朝以降、両国関係はより緊密なものとなっており、今後は大規模な経済的支援などが実施される可能性が高い。だが、中朝は「同盟」関係にあるとはいえ、日米同盟や米韓同盟のそれとは質的にかなり異なる。北朝鮮の核開発については、中国も決して容認しているわけではない。ゆえに中朝の軍事関係は一定の範囲に留まると考える。ロシアと北朝鮮の関係については予測が難しいが、現状はまだ抑制された段階に見える。
    在美中對立局勢加劇的情況下，東亞的緊張情勢逐步升高。2022年8月，隨著美國眾議院議長裴洛西訪台，中國軍隊在台灣海峽實施大規模軍事演習對抗等措施，影響所及不只是台灣，日本和韓國也不能再作壁上觀。在美國加深涉足東亞事務之際，與中國站在同一陣線，牽制美國的北韓與俄羅斯的存在感日益提升。因新冠肺炎爆發，中朝雙邊經濟關係一度低迷，但在2019 年習近平訪問北韓以來，中朝兩國關係顯然更加緊密，中國今後提供北韓大規模經濟援助的可能性很高。然而，中朝之間雖說是「同盟」關係，但其本質與日美同盟、美韓同盟有根本上的不同。對於北韓在核武開發上的作為，中國的態度並非欣然承認。本文認為，中朝的軍事同盟關係僅侷限在一定範圍內。至於俄羅斯與北韓的關係，以現狀而言仍處於克制的階段。
    Tensions are rising in East Asia amid heightened U.S.-China tensions. In August 2022, with the U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, Chinese forces implemented largescale military exercises and demonstrated countermeasures in the Taiwan Strait. It influences not only Taiwan, but also Japan and on South Korea. While the U.S. has been deepening its involvement in East Asian affairs, North Korea and Russia, which stand on the same side as China, are increasingly aware of their presence in U,S.- containment. Due to the outbreak of COVID-19, the bilateral economic relations between China and North Korea were once sluggish; however, due to Xi Jinping’s visit to North Korea in 2019, the relations between China and North Korea have become closer. The possibility of China’s providing large-scale economic assistance to North Korea in the future is very high. Although the relationship between China and North Korea is an “alliance,” its essence is fundamentally different from those of Japan-U.S. and the U.S.-South Korea alliances. China does not readily acknowledge North Korea’s actions in developing nuclear weapons. This paper argues that the military alliance between China and North Korea is limited to a certain range. As for the relationship between Russia and North Korea, it is now still in a stage of restraint.
    Relation: 問題と研究, 51(4), 77-109
    Data Type: article
    DOI 連結: https://doi.org/10.30391/ISJ.202212_51(4).0003
    DOI: 10.30391/ISJ.202212_51(4).0003
    Appears in Collections:[問題と研究] 期刊論文

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