English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Post-Print筆數 : 27 |  Items with full text/Total items : 109077/140081 (78%)
Visitors : 43353245      Online Users : 721
RC Version 6.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/63586


    Title: 中國國家能力研究與崩潰論失準討論
    Other Titles: A Study Approach of State Capacity towards China Collapse Thesis
    Authors: 初國華;張昌吉
    Chu, Gwo-Hua;Chang, Chun-Chig
    Contributors: 勞工所
    Keywords: 中國崩潰論;中國預測;國家能力;黨國體制
    China Collapse Thesis;Predict China;State Capacity;Party State Regime
    Date: 2013.07
    Issue Date: 2014-01-24 17:47:43 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 天安門事件後的中國崩潰論,直到九○年代的中後期,仍在國際間不絕於耳。但若對照當今的中國崛起,則這都屬理論預測或經驗判斷對事實的落差或預測失準,這是值得研究的。至於,如何解釋與調適崩潰論與現實中國的落差,並嘗試改善對中國預測的模型,則是本文之研究目的。共產國家國際結構骨牌分析以及政治保守、經濟改革的崩潰預測,其推論過程都忽略中共因素的反應與抵制,以及中共回應外界變遷與挑戰的能力。本文擬從國家能力觀點對上述議題作分析。
    Since the appearance of the China collapse theory after the Tiananmen incident, discussions over the Middle Kingdom`s collapse have been incessant. However, compared with China`s rise today, it is interesting to observe the theory`s failed prediction and misinterpretation of empirical evidences. This article aims to close the gulf between theory and reality and improve on models that attempt to forecast China`s future. Domino theories and pessimistic predictions about communist states fail to take into account the CCP`s ability to react and respond to changes and challenges from the outside world. This article tackles the issue from the approach of state capacity theory.
    Relation: 全球政治評論, 43,41-70
    Data Type: article
    Appears in Collections:[勞工研究所] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    4170.pdf988KbAdobe PDF21077View/Open


    All items in 政大典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    社群 sharing

    著作權政策宣告
    1.本網站之數位內容為國立政治大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,惟仍請適度,合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。商業上之利用,則請先取得著作權人之授權。
    2.本網站之製作,已盡力防止侵害著作權人之權益,如仍發現本網站之數位內容有侵害著作權人權益情事者,請權利人通知本網站維護人員(nccur@nccu.edu.tw),維護人員將立即採取移除該數位著作等補救措施。
    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback